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French press asks what drives Chirac on Iraq
Reuters | 2/27/03 | Tom Heneghan

Posted on 02/27/2003 5:28:53 AM PST by kattracks

PARIS, Feb 27 (Reuters) - Hailed only last week as a "peace warrior", President Jacques Chirac is now arousing some concern in Paris that his determined drive against war in Iraq could trap France in an uncomfortable anti-American corner.

The rumbling started earlier this week when some deputies in his centre-right ranks, preparing for a placid parliamentary debate on Iraq on Wednesday, began asking what the longer-term effects of France's campaign would be.

The French press took up the call on Thursday, with comments shifting from the satisfaction of recent weeks to questioning whether Chirac is not seriously damaging relations with his U.S. and European allies over a war he cannot prevent.

"What's got into him?" the conservative weekly Le Point asked on its latest cover. The left-leaning daily Liberation wondered: "What is Chirac seeking in Iraq?"

Even the pro-Chirac daily Le Figaro aired grave doubts about the audacious strategy that won Chirac and Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin the name "peace warriors" on the glossy cover of the weekly Paris-Match last week.

"The Achilles heel of the French position is that France can only emerge from this crisis a winner if the least probable outcome happens, that is, that Saddam Hussein turns himself into a zealous servant of the U.N.'s orders," it wrote.

Concern about France's insistence on United Nations arms inspections for months to come rose after Washington decided last week to call Paris's bluff and demand a vote on a second U.N. Security Council resolution to authorise war in Iraq.

If Washington can rally nine votes behind its proposal, France will have to decide whether to use its veto and risk serious damage to relations with the United States or abstain and face scorn and isolation.

HIGH TIME TO ASSESS POTENTIAL DAMAGE

"It's high time we weighed up the damage of an Atlantic rupture," Le Point wrote, adding it would be "wiser to save the United Nations and NATO from ruin".

The magazine noted Chirac, reinvigorated after his landslide re-election in May, had charged ahead on several fronts, including berating east Europeans for backing U.S. President George Bush and resuming France's active role in African affairs.

"He is sticking to his conviction that he's not a little mosquito biting the American elephant but that a majority of world public opinion and governments is with him," it wrote.

Le Figaro said Chirac wanted to keep his options open to the end, which is why the National Assembly was not asked to vote on the Iraq issue even after the Wednesday session where support for his anti-war stand was strong across the board.

Speaking for Chirac's UMP party, former prime minister Alain Juppe said France was wise not to tip its hand on using its U.N. veto, a step the left-wing opposition clamoured for.

But, Le Figaro noted, Paris will be in a serious bind if Washington rounds up the needed votes in the Security Council and a resolution can only be stopped by a French veto.

"Renouncing its veto and fleeing into abstention would not only weaken positions defended by Jacques Chirac for the past six months, it would also make obsolete one of the essential levers of French foreign policy," it wrote. "But using it would spark a serious crisis with the United States and its allies."

NO INFLUENCE

Guillaume Parmentier, head of the French Center on the United States, said France did not start out as anti-American in the Iraq crisis but had gradually moved that way.

He stressed, however, that Paris has always said it would back force if arms inspectors say they cannot work any more.

The argument that France would lose influence if it did not swing behind the war effort holds no water, he added, because Paris is convinced it will have no influence anyway with the United States after an Iraq war, or win any contracts there.

"The French are quite reconciled to the fact that they will have no influence," he said. "But they might have more influence over the other people in the region if they take a principled stand than if they don't." ((Reporting by Tom Heneghan;



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1 posted on 02/27/2003 5:28:53 AM PST by kattracks
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To: kattracks
The French have started to consider a world without Americans to give them cover. Kinda like a kid who wants his freedom until he has to pay his own bills.
2 posted on 02/27/2003 5:33:15 AM PST by Straight Vermonter (I don't believe in hyphenating Americans)
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To: kattracks

Saddam Saddam o' pal o' mine!

3 posted on 02/27/2003 5:33:24 AM PST by dennisw ( http://www.littlegreenfootballs.com/weblog/weblog.php)
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To: kattracks
French press asks what drives Chirac on Iraq

That's easy. Let us borrow a phrase from some of our homegrown morons: "It's like all about the oil, man."

4 posted on 02/27/2003 5:35:57 AM PST by guitfiddlist
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To: kattracks
French press asks what drives Chirac on Iraq

kats, I noticed a typo in the header.

Should read: French press asks what drives Chiraq on Iraq

5 posted on 02/27/2003 5:37:04 AM PST by JohnHuang2
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To: kattracks
"The French are quite reconciled to the fact that they will have no influence," he said.

Hmmm. Maybe the French aren't as stoopid as I thought ...

6 posted on 02/27/2003 5:37:18 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer (Let's Roll)
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To: kattracks
The American political landscape is littered with road kill of those who tried to get in front of W.
7 posted on 02/27/2003 5:40:48 AM PST by Semper Paratus
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To: kattracks
France will have to decide whether to use its veto and risk serious damage to relations with the United States . . .

It's way too late for the froggies on that score. The damage is already done and we're already relishing how we might respond to french squeals for assistance next time some tinpot tyrant decides to kick their butts.

8 posted on 02/27/2003 5:48:49 AM PST by LibWhacker
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To: kattracks
"one of the essential levers of French foreign policy"

How weak is that?

9 posted on 02/27/2003 5:53:05 AM PST by 7 x 77
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To: Semper Paratus
Isn't there an old american classic Kids song that ends with..

"And the Cheese stands alone" ????

What goes around always seems to come around..

Oh, i forgot "And the Rat ate the cheese.. The rat ate the cheese!"

10 posted on 02/27/2003 5:54:27 AM PST by ZAKJAN
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To: Straight Vermonter
"But they might have more influence over the other people in the region if they take a principled stand than if they don't."

That "principled" stand is only principled in the eyes of the remaining tyrants in the region and there is nothing other than tyrants in the region... So France seeks favor with tyrants… Nothing really changes…

France again is placing its bets on the wrong team...
11 posted on 02/27/2003 5:56:39 AM PST by DB (©)
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To: kattracks
Hailed only last week as a "peace warrior", President Jacques Chirac is now arousing some concern in Paris that his determined drive against war in Iraq could trap France in an uncomfortable anti-American corner.

Uhhhhh. They just figured it out? They've gotta have liberal brains. There's no other explaination for their densness.
Really.
Honestly.
Seriesly.
They have no idea how much French wine and cheese is floating through American sewers?
Hello? Helllllloooooo?

12 posted on 02/27/2003 6:02:32 AM PST by concerned about politics (Hellllllllooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!)
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To: kattracks
More and more it is beginning to look like the French President has a little dirty laundry, that will turn up when Baghdad falls.
13 posted on 02/27/2003 6:03:39 AM PST by hobbes1
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To: dennisw
Chirac looks like that gay blade Charles Nelson Reilly in that pic. Maybe Saddam has a roll of 35mm tucked away someplace?
14 posted on 02/27/2003 6:11:29 AM PST by ErnBatavia ((Bumperootus!))
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To: kattracks
"The Achilles heel of the French position is that France can only emerge from this crisis a winner if the least probable outcome happens, that is, that Saddam Hussein turns himself into a zealous servant of the U.N.'s orders," it wrote.

That is a point that some of us have been making for months. Chirac has painted himself into a corner, and since Hussein won't bail him out, the only possible damage control for the frenchlings is to now wholeheartedly endorse the American position.

I don't see that happening, either.

15 posted on 02/27/2003 6:14:06 AM PST by Dog Gone
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To: kattracks
"What's got into him?" the conservative weekly Le Point asked on its latest cover. The left-leaning daily Liberation wondered: "What is Chirac seeking in Iraq?"

Honesty is his policy. When he's bought, he stays bought.

16 posted on 02/27/2003 6:14:42 AM PST by concerned about politics (Chirac divides his time between running for office and running for cover.)
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To: hobbes1
Dirty Laundry? VERY long read but VERY informative

Energy Information Administration

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/iraq.html


Post-U.N. Sanctions Development Plans
As of October 2002, Iraq reportedly had signed several multi-billion dollar deals with foreign oil companies mainly from China, France, and Russia. Deutsche Bank estimates $38 billion total on new fields --
17 posted on 02/27/2003 6:18:35 AM PST by ZAKJAN
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To: kattracks
some deputies in his centre-right ranks, preparing for a placid parliamentary debate on Iraq on Wednesday, began asking what the longer-term effects of France's campaign would be

One effect: The occupation forces will have instructions to go over the wreck of Saddam's WMD machinery with an electron microscope to find all the "FABRIQUE EN FRANCE" labels.

18 posted on 02/27/2003 6:19:07 AM PST by steve-b
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To: kattracks
"He is sticking to his conviction that he's not a little mosquito biting the American elephant but that a majority of world public opinion and governments is with him," it wrote.

This sounds like he's talking to his left wing voters . A section where the voting population is dense - from the neck up.

19 posted on 02/27/2003 6:21:54 AM PST by concerned about politics (Chirac divides his time between running for office and running for cover.)
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To: hobbes1
Dirty Laundry? VERY long read but VERY informative

Energy Information Administration

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/iraq.html


Post-U.N. Sanctions Development Plans
As of October 2002, Iraq reportedly had signed several multi-billion dollar deals with foreign oil companies mainly from China, France, and Russia. Deutsche Bank estimates $38 billion total on new fields --
20 posted on 02/27/2003 6:23:35 AM PST by ZAKJAN
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