Free Republic

Allow me to revise and extend my remarks on polling skepticism in our annus horribilis by citing … another poll. Yes, yes, I get the irony of this, but yesterday’s AP/Ipsos poll points out the dichotomy facing election polling in every cycle — but especially in this one. And that dichotomy is how to calculate preferences against enthusiasm in identifying just which voters are likely to participate at all, especially in the middle of a pandemic.The toplines of the poll are hardly cheery for Donald Trump or Republicans. At the moment, 41% of respondents plan to vote for Joe...

Project #81-5139-72 Interview dates: January 3-5, 2006 Interviews 1,001 adults, 856 registered voters Margin of error: +3.1 for all adults, +3.4 for registered voters THE ASSOCIATED PRESS POLL CONDUCTED BY IPSOS PUBLIC AFFAIRS NOTE: all results shown are percentages unless otherwise labeled. REGISTERED VOTERS/ PARTY AFFILIATION 1. Are you currently registered to vote at this address, or not? ALL ADULTS Yes................................................... 81 No .................................................... 18 Refused/not sure ........................... 1 REGISTERED VOTERS Strongly Republican .......................... 13 Moderately Republican ..................... 27 Definitely Independent/neither........... 8 Moderately Democrat........................ 32 Strongly Democrat ............................ 20 Refused/not sure............................. - Total Republican ............................ 40 Total Democrat ............................... 52

WASHINGTON (AP) - Half of Americans have concerns that terrorists might be winning the war on terrorism, and one in five feels strongly that way, according to an Associated Press poll that found many people pessimistic about their security. Fears about an attack against this country are high. Two-thirds in the poll said it was likely terrorists would strike before the November elections. And a third said it was likely there would be an attack at one of the political conventions this summer. More than 30 months after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, two-thirds of Americans acknowledge some concern that...