11/05/2010 11:06:59 AM PDT
· 18 of 53 Chet 99
to God luvs America
Overstating a candidate’s numbers, even if the outcome is called correctly, is still biased polling. In 1996, the pollsters correctly predicted Clinton would win — but many were wildly off (in Clinton’s favor) on his margin.
I don’t think people in glass houses should be throwing stones, as Nate Silver is here. His predictions were pretty off. He had a 2.9% bias in favor of House Democrats in his predictions.
11/04/2010 4:13:06 PM PDT
· 11 of 29 Chet 99
to Gay State Conservative
Uhhh... if you click on the link, you’d see in the next sentence that her spokesperson said she’s going to caucus with the GOP. She wants to retain her position as the top Republican on the Natural Resources Panel.
11/04/2010 2:39:57 PM PDT
· 9 of 16 Chet 99
to goldstategop
What’s odd is the polls had consistently shown Brady doing better than Kirk. I suspect that the Chicago machine went to work for Quinn, but didn’t do much to stop Kirk.
Prop 25 seems pretty bad, but did Republicans every truly have any input on the budget? They always got the budget they wanted through by making side deals with a couple of RINOs, not by actually making real concessions to the Republican caucus as a whole.