SARASOTA — Dan Smith moved from Ohio to Florida 26 years ago, and a Democrat hasn't won a governor's race since he arrived. The state was always competitive when election time rolled around, though. Indeed, the last three governor’s races in Florida were decided by a percentage point or less. This year feels different, said Smith, a retired plumber from Cincinnati and a registered Democrat. He cast his vote Wednesday for Democrat Charlie Crist in the governor’s race. But he doesn’t think Crist has much of a chance