Posted on 10/17/2018 10:07:10 AM PDT by spacewarp
I know. This is my unscientific views. It looks like that based on normalizing data received.
It looks like, for the Senate, a good night.
Not going to try the entire 435 House, as I did this whole thing by hand.
Duly noted.
I thought about this on the way into the office. If we take the Senate, we’re in good shape. That ensures Trump’s future SCOTUS picks will be confirmed. A Democrat house would be held in check, for the most part, as the Senate wouldn’t be so quick to move along legislation, and there’s little chance they achieve a veto-proof majority.
If nothing else, a Democrat House would mean gridlock, and they’ll just bang the drum that Trump is not abiding the will of the people. Then again, we’ve got all chambers now, and there’s gridlock.
You only have 99 seats. I think you’re missing Utah.
“Utah? Okay first of all — you can’t just go making up states.”
I am in Wisconsin. I am curious why you are calling a surprise. I would love that. But havent seen any polling that looks good.
I think you underestimate how bad it will be if the democrats win the House. Endless investigations could cripple the Administration’s ability to get things done.
Double posted in middle. Cruz not Turnover, it is Retain
so sorry, no double post by you, just Cruz error
PA-Casey
He is abysmal, and just abhorrent after the add with twin children. Outright mocking Lou Barletta’s grandkids medical condition—
Casey is slime and should lose just because that one add shows everyone what he really is!!! Unfortunately with Philly soooooo D, he’ll win.
I think you underestimate how bad it will be if the democrats win the House. Endless investigations could cripple the Administration’s ability to get things done.
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The Rats would not try to put anything through that the President wanted, anyway. It would be stalemate and Trump has the Veto pen for anything the Rats put through. Stalemate, except Trump’s Executive Orders..
It would set the R’s up for a big win in 2020.
I think we improve in the Senate getting up to 55 or so seats, which makes getting people confirmed easier where one hold out does have so much influence and headline grabbing.
We lose some seats in the House but still hold a 15-20 seat advantage to keep mayhem and chaos at a minimum
Trump wins in 2020 but I think his opponent will be someone not even on the radar right now.
Cruz should not be a turnover. It’s a retain!
Hirono, now way she loses. There are only about a dozen republicans in the whole state.
for what it’s worth, 538.com prognosticates that the Dems will 29n 40 house seats and the R’s will pick up 4 Senate seats.
Yes, the Reps pick up a few Senate seats.
The Dems take the House, prepare for more hell.
Dem house means not stop investigations into Trump 24/7/365 and zero chance of border $ of any type. I’d rather lightly lose the house than the Senate but it will be a nightmare if Dems take over one of the two.
The issue is not getting bills through. That would be a unaffordable luxury. it would be investigation after investigation, to his sexuality, his income tax, Trump University,getting any of worker involved in any of his businesses (few among thousands) to claim racism/sexism/harrassment), and non-stop for two years with full-on attack also by media. Some of this may stick. We'll not get a single bill through, no further tax cuts, no ANWR type legislation, NONE. Just investigations. I think you need to drink a dose of reality.
No, 538 has R’s picking up 0.6 senate seats, with the 80% confidence interval on the outer band at +4 (and -2 on the other band)
I'm doing all I can, every day, to help the (mostly useless) Rs retain the House. This said, should it turn over I think The Donald will become unleashed and become even more of a force of nature than he is today. Running daily against the insane Ds will all but guarantee his reelection along with the Rs retaking the House in 2020.
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