What about liberals and illegals voting in red states?
Which effect would take precedence?
Motivation is the key.
Trump pulled almost 63-million votes in 2016. At this point, you can project out that black male-Trump-vote will be double what it was in 2016. You can also project that the Latino vote for Trump in 2016....probably doubles this time around.
Then you go and calculate the election being either a Joe Biden situation or Mayor Pete situation. Neither bring charisma or excitement to average or potential Democratic voters.
So I would guess that Trump takes his 2016 thirty states that he won, and his national public vote goes to around sixty-five million...so he wins both ways. But this Electoral College rule change in these 15-odd states...will result in an enormous win, and various challenges by people who are angry that their vote in California....actually went to Donald Trump.
The way I see it:
Blue State conservatives who normally might stay home, will come out in droves to enhance a ‘nationalized’ vote for President Trump
Lib voters in red states (which haven’t signed onto the NPV nonsense) will come out but it won’t be enough to get their state tends to turn red. Purple states will be pretty much a toss-up
All the President needs to do is hold 4-5 rallies per week in locations of his choosing. The MSM won’t be able to avoid the lure of a huge (YUUGE?) TV audience. The election becomes much more ‘nationalized’ than ever before. The President ‘Trumps’ them all!!!!
..as usual
The electoral system inclusion made the Constitution
palpable to the less populous states. Screw with it
and the contract is broken. I’d say the less populous
states would have every right to secede. Imagine a
new nation separating E.Commieland from W. Commieland.
Make plans now to take off voting day from work. Be a poll watcher. Take someone with you. Write down everything and coordinate with your election officials. We need to see who votes and if they allow voting fraud in any district.
He cant win in a landslide but he should win handily and even the popular vote
California wil never vote GOPe now because whites are a minority there now
No landslide without Kali
New York and Illinois ditto
Trump’s #1 opponent in 2020 is voter fraud.
If you think about it, the president has NOT lost any of his base (except maybe Ann Coulter), and HAS to have peeled off many voters because of the economy, blexit, the support for Jews, Latino unemployment, #walkaway, prison reform, second chance, etc.
His base can only be growing. The HATE vote has to be shrinking.
In 2016, Jack and Jill run up the hill.
Jill was ahead after 80 yards but at 100 yards Jack reached the pail first.
Jill complains endlessly that she won the 80-yard race and that the pail is rightfully hers.
In 2020, Jack is much stronger, Jill much weaker.
I would wager that Jack leads at both 80 and 100 yards.