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Horowitz: Simple arithmetic demonstrates that the epidemic, outside nursing homes, is essentially over
https://www.conservativereview.com/news/horowitz-simple-arithmetic-demonstrates-epidemic-outside-nur ^ | May 7, 2020 | Daniel Horowitz

Posted on 05/09/2020 5:04:03 AM PDT by conservative98

We are weeks past the peak of coronavirus hospitalizations, yet the reported national death numbers keep rising 2,000 or more every single day. It made no sense to anyone who has followed the curves in any other country, but now we have our answer. The Hartford Courant reported that 90% of all deaths in Connecticut last week were in senior care facilities. This explains why these increased deaths don’t make sense with the reality of empty hospitals in most places.

This revelation should change everything we know about the current state of affairs with coronavirus. Governors are justifying the continued lockdown by pointing to rising deaths, sometimes significantly, in many states and counties. But it now appears, using simple arithmetic, that in most states, the overwhelming majority of deaths are in nursing homes, and in some states and counties, nearly every new death is in a senior facility. And in fact, even in nursing homes, it appears that while numbers are being recorded now, the actual deaths occurred earlier during the peak. Nothing else matters until this fact comes to life.

80%-90% of new deaths, 50%+ total deaths are in senior care facilities

As I reported yesterday, not only do deaths in nursing homes now compose more than 50% (and in some states as high as 80%) of total deaths from the beginning of the entire epidemic, that percentage is sharply increasing in every state day by day. This means that nearly all the new deaths, depending on the state, are occurring in nursing homes.

(Excerpt) Read more at conservativereview.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; nursinghomes
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1 posted on 05/09/2020 5:04:03 AM PDT by conservative98
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To: conservative98

Democrats, the media and liberal leftists who blindly follow them do not care.


2 posted on 05/09/2020 5:10:54 AM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: conservative98
The election is months away, and therefore the Globalists and Demoncrats need to seal the "vote by mail" scam before they allow us out of our slave masks and chains.


3 posted on 05/09/2020 5:14:53 AM PDT by SkyPilot
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To: SkyPilot

I don’t give a damn if you have to put your pregnant wife on a donkey in the dead of winter....you ain’t going to vote by mail.


4 posted on 05/09/2020 5:17:23 AM PDT by DCPatriot ("It aint what you don't know that kills you. It's what you know that aint so" Theodore Sturgeon))
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To: conservative98

“they” will continue to push this thing until the election, meanwhile the entire country is destroyed. Come election time the Dims will say, “vote for us”, we will rebuild this country. Textbook Democrat. I can’t believe over half the country is falling for this. Why can’t we do something?


5 posted on 05/09/2020 5:20:28 AM PDT by krug
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To: conservative98

Nursing homes, but I’m also wondering about correctional facilities. I bet the latter, through guards and vistors, may also account for some spread in Upstate NY.


6 posted on 05/09/2020 5:20:48 AM PDT by mewzilla (Break out the mustard seeds.)
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To: conservative98

But... but... second wave! Catastrophe! Plague! Gahhh!


7 posted on 05/09/2020 5:29:32 AM PDT by rarestia (Repeal the 17th Amendment and ratify Article the First to give the power back to the people!)
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To: conservative98

It looks like around 5% of Americans 65 and older live in “nursing home” environments.

I cannot find it again, but I thought I saw that around 25% of New York’s deaths were in nursing homes.


8 posted on 05/09/2020 5:38:19 AM PDT by Empire_of_Liberty
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To: conservative98

And, I understand that for some unexplained reason the state and locales were late in reporting the nursing home deaths and did not include the Assisted Living facilities in their survey until very recently.


9 posted on 05/09/2020 5:42:07 AM PDT by MCEscherHammer
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To: conservative98

Bookmark.


10 posted on 05/09/2020 5:48:24 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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To: Empire_of_Liberty

Looks like around 25%

...more than 2,300 New York nursing home and assisted facility residents have died from Covid-19, with another 2,500-plus presumed to have died from the virus, according to new state Department of Health county-level data. That’s more than five times as many coronavirus deaths reported in all of Washington state...

https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2020/05/06/cuomo-under-fire-for-response-to-covid-19-at-nursing-homes-1282821

New York State Deaths 21,045 (as of today)
https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/how-many-in-tri-state-have-tested-positive-for-coronavirus-here-are-latest-cases-by-the-numbers/2317721/


11 posted on 05/09/2020 5:57:39 AM PDT by JayGalt (You can't teach a donkey how to tap danevements. ce. Nemo me impune lacessit!)
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To: conservative98

-I know of no senior facility that uses HCQ as a preventive measure, which it is capable of doing safely. So all this talk of caring for our seniors is just that... talk. It is cheap!
-New cases are reported, but new tests are generally not. More testing = more cases.
-Define “case”. Does that mean antigen positive or antibody positive. An antibody positive is not a “ case”; they are immune.


12 posted on 05/09/2020 6:03:50 AM PDT by Chauncey Gardiner
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To: conservative98

According to the John Hopkins University Covid-19 Tracking Map, the number of confirmed deaths in my suburban county more than doubled from May 7 to May 8. Nursing homes?


13 posted on 05/09/2020 6:05:13 AM PDT by Labyrinthos
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To: conservative98

The widespread medical neglect ofthe elderly in America is a scandal.

Stats indicate Mexico takes care of its elderly better than we do.


14 posted on 05/09/2020 6:10:13 AM PDT by amihow
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To: DCPatriot

Outstanding use of history...


15 posted on 05/09/2020 6:11:07 AM PDT by Laslo Fripp (The Sybil of Free Republic)
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To: Labyrinthos
83% of deaths in Baltimore County, Maryland, so far have been in nursing homes. I just read that statistic this morning. At first I was surprised, but not after further reading.

Now that statistics are being listed more often about nursing home CV deaths, some states are going back to add the people who died in the hospital but came there from a nursing home to the nursing home statistics. I think that is a valid point because we need to know how many people who were living in nursing homes have died from the coronavirus. People in nursing homes need extra protection.

If it turns out that people who are not living in nursing homes have a very small chance that they will be dying from the coronavirus, then those people should be able to get back to their jobs and lives. People who have underlying health conditions make decisions for themselves about whether they want to stay home or go out. People make decisions like this every day. We all now have something else to consider now that the coronavirus seems that it is here to stay.

16 posted on 05/09/2020 6:26:54 AM PDT by Freee-dame
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To: amihow
Stats indicate Mexico takes care of its elderly better than we do.

I'll call BS on that...which stats?

17 posted on 05/09/2020 6:41:01 AM PDT by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera)
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To: mac_truck

Just read that and bookmarked it. Will try to find.

But the quality of general family medical care in Mexico is almost always better than here in my experience with multiple family/friend experiences. Many Americans go there for bypasses.

The empathy we have lost has not been lost there.


18 posted on 05/09/2020 7:04:05 AM PDT by amihow
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

Nationwide nursing home deaths here per the NYT.
33% which they admit to being an under count.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/05/09/us/coronavirus-cases-nursing-homes-us.html


19 posted on 05/09/2020 7:09:20 AM PDT by Baldwin
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To: SkyPilot

The libs have no problem with people going to grocery stores, hardware stores and the like, but they think it is too dangerous to stand in line to vote.

It’s too dangerous to their plan to steal the next election.


20 posted on 05/09/2020 7:14:24 AM PDT by Texas resident (Remember in November)
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