Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Why Shortages Are Permanent: Global Supply Shortages Make Fantastic Financial Sense
Zubu Brothers ^ | 10-7-2021 | Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

Posted on 10/07/2021 4:12:50 AM PDT by blam

The era of abundance was only a short-lived artifact of the initial boost phase of globalization and financialization.

Global corporations didn’t go to all the effort to establish quasi-monopolies and cartels for our convenience–they did it to ensure reliably large profits from control and scarcity. Not all scarcities are artificial, i.e. the result of cartels limiting supply to keep prices high; many scarcities are real, and many of these scarcities can be traced back to the stripping out of redundancy / multiple suppliers of industrial essentials to streamline efficiency and eliminate competition.

Recall that competition and abundance are anathema to profits. Wide open competition and structural abundance are the least conducive setting for generating reliably ample profits, while quasi-monopolies and cartels that control scarce supplies are the ideal profit-generating machines.

The incentives to expand the number of suppliers, i.e. increase competition, are effectively zero. America’s corporations spent $11 trillion buying back their own stocks over the past decade; that’s equal to the combined GDP of Japan, Germany and Italy. If adding new suppliers to the global supply chain were profitable, some of that $11 trillion would have exploited those vast profits.

The financial reality is attempting to compete with an established cartel that has captured regulatory and political mechanisms is a foolhardy waste of capital. If firing up a new supplier of essential solvents, etc. was so captivatingly profitable, then why wouldn’t Google and Apple take a slice of their billions in cash and go make some easy money?

The barriers to entry are high and the markets are limited. A great many specialty lubricants, solvents, alloys, wires, etc. are essential to the manufacture of all the consumer and industrial products that are sourced globally, but the markets are narrow: manufacturers need X amount of a specialty solvent, not 10X.

Back in the good old days before globalization and financialization conquered the world, corporations lined up three reliable suppliers for every critical component, as this redundancy alleviated supply chain chokeholds. But to keep those three suppliers in business, you need to spread the order book among all three. Nobody will keep a facility open if it’s only used occasionally when the primary supplier runs into a spot of bother.

And so now we’re all seated at the banquet of consequences flowing from stripping out redundancy and competition, and ceding control of supply chains to quasi-monopolies and cartels. Scarcities are their source of profits, and since it makes zero financial sense to spend a fortune building a plant to make solvents, lubricants, alloys, etc. in limited quantities in markets dominated by quasi-monopolies and cartels, shortages are a permanent feature of the 21st century global economy.

The era of abundance was only a short-lived artifact of the initial boost phase of globalization and financialization; now that the consolidation is complete, shortages make fantastic financial sense.

By all means thank Corporate America for squandering $11 trillion to further enrich the top 0.1% and insiders. Alas, there was no better use for all those trillions than further enriching the already-super-rich.


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: beltandroad; ccp; china; economy; shipping; shortages; supply

1 posted on 10/07/2021 4:12:50 AM PDT by blam
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: blam
Looks like Ports America has just been sold... Posting the headline because the article is behind a paywall... Ports America sold News 30 Sep 2021 by Paul Avery Oaktree Capital Management has sold Ports America to the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board

Watchdog raises concern about Canadian pension investments in China

Three guesses why we don't have the National Guard unloading at blue state pirts.

2 posted on 10/07/2021 4:15:13 AM PDT by mewzilla (Those aren't masks. They're muzzles. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mewzilla

...ports...

Pres. Trump, are you concerned about the Ports America deal?


3 posted on 10/07/2021 4:15:56 AM PDT by mewzilla (Those aren't masks. They're muzzles. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: blam

They’re starting to call it “just in time” shipping. The problem with that is when your supply lines dry up, there’s nothing timely about it.


4 posted on 10/07/2021 4:16:23 AM PDT by rarestia (Repeal the 17th Amendment and ratify Article the First to give the power back to the people!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blam

Tariffs now. Stop importing poverty. Make it here. 100% self sufficiency or nothing.


5 posted on 10/07/2021 4:18:43 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blam

When we import a good we import the standard of living of the ones producing that imported good and we ship wealth out of the USA. Lose - Lose.


6 posted on 10/07/2021 4:20:35 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: blam
Where there is a shortage, there is an opportunity. If we can overcome the vile fraud and criminal activity of the democrats, this will be resolved in short order for the better.

Long term shortages is the death blow for globalization.

7 posted on 10/07/2021 4:22:26 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists...Socialists...Fascists & AntiFa...Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mewzilla
Guys, we have a major problem with our ports.

BTW, the ChiComs have been busy little bees. See my links here to check out what's been going on with some poets worldwide...

Please Explain. Exactly Why Do We Have a Shipping Crisis?

8 posted on 10/07/2021 4:30:43 AM PDT by mewzilla (Those aren't masks. They're muzzles. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: blam

Supply-and-demand is still a natural law of economics. Squeezing supply may create a bump in profits, but also incentivizes competition. Insofar as there are global limits to supply, the article implying that CCP leadership is so fiendishly clever they’re taking over everything, we literally have an entrepreneur welding up interplanetary cargo spacecraft in tents on a beach - there’s always another supply.


9 posted on 10/07/2021 5:22:06 AM PDT by ctdonath2 (All worry about monsters that'll eat our face, but it's our job to ask WHY it wants to eat our face.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ctdonath2
This author seems to be ignorant about how business works.

Many of the shortages you see today involve products that are totally discretionary for the consumer. At a certain price point the consumer simply decides to buy a replacement or second-hand item, defer the purchase as long as possible, or not buy the product at all.

10 posted on 10/07/2021 6:35:46 AM PDT by Alberta's Child ("All lies and jest, ‘til a man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson