Wuhan Plandemic –
Pfizer just completed their purchase of Arena Pharmaceuticals for $6.7 billion, gaining dominant control of cardiovascular “treatments” for the horrific health trauma caused by the Wuhan coronavirus (COVID-19) vascular-clogging clot shots they themselves manufacture.
OBSERVATION - Follow the money, honey.
POLITICAL FRONT –
Trump was arrested yesterday and officially charged on four counts related to the J6 protests. He pled not guilty.
The RNC is unquestionably quiet about the latest round of political persecution. The never-trumpet RINOS as well, though one shouldn’t be surprised at that.
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Text messages provided to the FBI show that a Chinese energy conglomerate that struck a controversial deal in 2017 with Hunter Biden began its pursuit of a relationship with the future first family back in late 2015 when Joe Biden was still vice president, hoping to seize on the name of one of America’s most famous political dynasties to provide cover for its ambitious plan to buy up energy assets inside the United States.
OBSERVATION - Nothing concerning the biden crime family surprises me anymore.
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The Biden White House inquired in meetings with Facebook executives asking whether Facebook could tweak its algorithm to showcase stories from The New York Times and Wall Street Journal over content posted by “polarizing” conservative journalists and commentators in early 2021, according to meeting notes the social media firm turned over to Congress that are alarming some constitutional lawyers. The alleged focus of the meetings was to assist the administration while it struggled to combat COVID vaccine hesitancy
OBSERVATION - No First Amendment for you. . . .
Biden Watch –
Biden remains on vacation. . . . .
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated July 9, 2023 (under review Aug 2, 2023)
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. With Ukraine lacking air superiority, Russia has taken chance in using its aircraft (helicopters and fast movers) to more directly assist its ground forces, though at an increasing loss of airframes.
The month plus of Ukraine offensive action has forced Russia to give up terrain on all fronts - most notably in the Bakhmut area where Russian forces are now being in danger of being encircled.
Russian reserves are increasingly being used to try to stop Ukrainian advances. Just how big and combat capable of a reserve force is debatable. Reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv may be a ploy to freeze some of the Ukraine forces out of the offensive to the south. However, this number includes cooks, bottle washers and other logistic elements, so the ‘teeth’ numbers are likely much lower.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
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See Europe / NATO General for discussion below on a possible Russian drone that hit Romanian territory.
See also Russian landing ship severely damaged by a Ukraine sea drone.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Thunderstorms early in the week with temperatures in eastern Ukraine forecast to reach the 100s towards the end.
Longer term forecasts for mid to late October include cold and rains across Europe. Highs only in the 50s and 60s Fahrenheit.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukrainian USVs attacked the Russian port of Novorossiysk this morning. Russia’s largest port that it uses exports grain etc in the Black Sea. The USVs struck a Ropucha-class landing ship “Olenegorskiy Gornyak” , seriously damaging it and causing it to list heavily to the port side. Videos show it being towed back to Novorossiysk.
Russia continues to lose ground around Bakhmut, with Ukraine gaining tactically important territory south of the city.
In the south, Ukraine continues to work its way through the massive mine fields, but has established itself in Russian trenches constructed for the first line of defense.
Russian Territory –
In the Moscow region, an oxygen-battery warehouse has exploded - a place where batteries for drones were made.
Fire is burning in Yakhroma near Moscow: a warehouse with rubber and plastic is burning on an area of 2.5 thousand square meters.
NOTE - Big fires in large, wartime related facilities in Russia have been on the increase. Little word out as to the causes, but relationship to the war is more than coincidental and may reflect internal dissidents or deep buried sabotage teams.
OUTLOOK –
Meat grinder conditions along the front, but interesting developments in the long range war being expanded. Ukrainian USVs strike further south than before and got a major amphi warship. On the surface, this may not seem very big, but if the Kersch Bridge is taken out in totality, Russia will be reduced to ferrying men and material into Crimea. The loss of one of Russia’s large amphibious ships will severely degrade that capability. The USV strike also severs to warn that Russia has fewer and fewer placed it can hide its warships and will have to take measures to secure even more military harbors in the northern Black Sea region.
Seems like the operational pause in southern Ukraine by Ukraine may be ending soon so that they don’t lose operational momentum and advantage. Changes can happen very quickly in this dynamic environment.
Poland –
Poland sent attack helicopters to the Belarusian border, placing them on full alert of a border intrusion by Belarusian helicopters.
Polish PM Morawiecki also met at the Suwalki Gap today with Lithuanian President Gitanas Nauseda in a show of force against Wagner.
OBSERVATION - Inept Belarusian leadership is going to do something to give Poland the clearance to act, causing the war in Ukraine to expand almost exponentially .
Europe / NATO General –
During the last attack of the Russian Federation on the port of Izmail, one of the drones fell on the territory of Romania, - Romanian media. The Romanian govt has so far denied the incident.
Iran –
Senior U.S. Defense Officials have stated that preparations are underway to soon begin the Deployment of Marines and Sailors onto Commercial Shipping Vessels as they a pass through the Gulf of Oman and the Persian Gulf through the Strait of Hormuz in order to Protect them from hijackings or attacks which are often perpetrated by the Iranian Military; an Official has gone so far as to state that Marines from Camp Lejeune in North Carolina have already been transferred to Bahrain to begin training on Maritime Security.
OBSERVATION - This would be a significant escalation in the effort to stop Iranian seizures of vessels in the region. Iran may well see this as a challenge and force the issue in an effort to seize one of these vessels and parade captured marines for PR purposes. The US has firepower in the region already, but has been reluctant to use it.
Syria -
Iran and Syria foreign ministers held a press conference, calling on foreign forces to leave Syria’s territory. Al Mayadeen: “Syrian Foreign Minister Faisal Al-Mekdad stressed that the US army should withdraw from Syria before it is forced out”
Iran is reportedly training militants to use attack drones in eastern Syria, likely part of a campaign to expel US forces.
OBSERVATION - I’ve noted the mentality of strength and the perception of weakness as a guiding principle for radical islam. Iran sees the US as weak and is looking to exploit that weakness for success over the ‘great satan’. This is not an entirely false assumption by Iran, the US foreign policy is in a shambles, and military readiness has slipped to a very low level.
Africa general – WAR WATCH
World Bank suspended payments to Niger. The World Bank said they were “alarmed” by attempts to overthrow the democratically elected government in Niger.
“In response, the World Bank has suspended disbursements on all operations until further notice, with the exception of partnerships with the private sector, which will continue with caution,” the World Bank said in a statement.
Nigeria, Senegal, Côte d’Ivoire, and Benin have all agreed to partake in a possible military intervention by ECOWAS.
EU ready to support military intervention in Niger, according to the official representative of the EU foreign service, Nabila Massrali.
On the other side of the ledger, Mali and Burkina Faso have both stated that they will support Niger if there is an intervention.
Some ECOWAS members are yet to commit to involvement in a potential intervention:
- Guinea Bissau
- Cabo Verde
- Sierra Leone
- Liberia
- Ghana
- Togo
The Head of the Miliary Junta in Niger, Brigadier General Abdourahamane Tchiani has announced that Niger will Immediately suspend all military cooperation agreements with France including the agreement which allows French Military Forces to remain in Niger, with Tchiani further stating that Niger will swiftly respond to any sort of aggression by ECOWAS or the West African Community
ECOWAS delegation led by General Abdulsalami Abubakar (Rtd), Sultan of Sokoto, Alhaji Muhammad Sa’ad Abubakar and President of ECOWAS Commission, H.E. Omar Alieu Touray, arrived in Niamey, Niger Republic, for talks with coup leaders
OBSERVATION - Western Africa is set to explode as the deadline for the coup to restore the elected leaders is quickly approaching. All sides are preparing for a war.
The Nigerien junta appear to be unlikely to cave to international pressure to undo its coup. This may force the junta to seek alternative auxiliary forces like the Wagner Group and may prompt a regional ECOWAS military intervention.
Current intel shows that Niger and its allies are out gunned by the declared ECOWAS forces. ECOWAS also has the backing of the EU and particularly France who are more likely to provide more aid than Russia can for Niger at this stage..
The RNC wants him in prison more than the Democrats do. They want to go back to the way things used to be run. Where Republicans were the whipping boys of the media and Democrat Party. And all they had to do was kiss Democrat ass and count their money. The Republican Party is totally satisfied to play second fiddle to the Democrat Party.
Globalism / Great Reset –
Republican presidential candidate and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy has settled his lawsuit against the “globalist” World Economic Forum (WEF) for “creating a false perception” he was affiliated with the organization, and has promised to donate the settlement money to a conservative nonprofit.
Ramaswamy slapped the organization with a lawsuit in a Cincinnati, Ohio court in April after it failed to remove his name from its 2021 list of Young Global Leaders even though he declined the nomination to the list and requested multiple times for them to remove his name.The ultimate question is, would Ramaswamy be so adamant about rejecting the much-coveted distinction (among a certain class of politician) if the GOP base, particularly the Trump base that Ramswamy is courting, were not so vehemently opposed to the machinations of the World Economic Forum?
In other words, is Ramaswamy a genuine populist or just playing one for the votes? We must never take off the table the possibility of a Trojan Horse, no matter how shiny the packaging. This isn’t to say, of course, that the candidate is disingenuous — only that due diligence warrants some degree of skepticism until he proves his bona fides in policy prescriptions and, ultimately, execution of those policy prescriptions if he were to assume office.
OBSERVATION - How close was he to the WEF in the first place that garnered him the attention to be listed as as a Young Global Leader in the FIRST place? I think serious concerns are well warranted on his background and motivations.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Social media personality Kai Cenat has been arrested after chaos unfolded at his event in Union Square. Centat had announced a ‘give away’ and called his followers to come to Union Square Park NYC. Hundreds (thousands) of teens and adults covered on the site and broke out into general violence and vandalism. NYPD was overwhelmed as rioters threw bottles, debris and fireworks at them, injuring several officers. 65 were arrested.
OBSERVATION - Ferals residing in NYC (as well as other blue urban areas across the nation) seemed more than willing to go on a destructive rampage over something like a PS5. This must give the BLM/Antifa core leadership hope for a repeat of 2020 if a rallying event can occur or be staged. These would be the foot soldier / cannon fodder for any similar uprising.
POLITICAL FRONT –
According to internal Department of Energy (DOE) calendars obtained by Americans for Public Trust, Granholm consulted China National Energy Administration Chairman Zhang Jianhua, a senior member of the Chinese Communist Party, Nov. 19, 2021, and two days later on Nov. 21, 2021.
On Nov. 23, 2021, the White House announced a release of 50 million barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).
OBSERVATION - The majority of the oil released from the SPR made its way to China, directly aiding an adversary. Makes it appear that China is directing a lot of US policy.
**
The New York Times noted Katherine Feinstein, 66, Feinstein’s only child has “power of attorney over her mother’s legal affairs, filed two lawsuits against Senator Feinstein’s co-trustees.”
OBSERVATION - If she is incapable of handling her own affairs, she is doubly incapable of serving as a senator.
Biden Watch –
Biden remains on vacation. . . . .
Biden has officially passed 365 days of vacation since taking office 2.5 years ago, 39% of his time as the head of the regime.
Cyber attacks/warfare –
A cyber attack is caused major disruptions to hospitals and healthcare across several states. Emergency rooms were closed, ambulances are being diverted, and many primary care services remain closed So far, the cyber attacks seem to be focused in hospitals in California, Texas, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island. No one has claimed credit for the attacks yet.
Illegal Immigration –
Current illegal immigration news is buried by the Trump indictments as well as other distractions. Numbers of captures continue at near record highs. Feds taking Texas to court over the river barrier. Sanctuary cities are crying out no mas, no mas, as thousands are being bussed into them from impacted southern states like Florida and Texas.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated July 9, 2023 (under review Aug 2, 2023)
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. With Ukraine lacking air superiority, Russia has taken chance in using its aircraft (helicopters and fast movers) to more directly assist its ground forces, though at an increasing loss of airframes.
The month plus of Ukraine offensive action has forced Russia to give up terrain on all fronts - most notably in the Bakhmut area where Russian forces are now being in danger of being encircled.
Russian reserves are increasingly being used to try to stop Ukrainian advances. Just how big and combat capable of a reserve force is debatable. Reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv may be a ploy to freeze some of the Ukraine forces out of the offensive to the south. However, this number includes cooks, bottle washers and other logistic elements, so the ‘teeth’ numbers are likely much lower.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
********
Kerch Bridge update –
Still residual reports that the Kerch Bridge was attacked again by sea-borne drones. Russia being tight lipped about the whole incident. Traffic was closed for a period of time during the night.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Thunderstorms early in the week with temperatures in eastern Ukraine forecast to reach the 100s towards the end.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
A great deal of excitement and some disappointment overnight as Ukraine’s drone attack boats struck Russian tanker vessel “SIG”, seriously damaging it, flooding the engine room. The attack caused widespread speculation that Kerch Bridge was targeted again because the SIG was at anchor relatively near the bridge, 30 Km to the south. Сhief of Security Service of Ukraine has since warned all Russian vessels to leave the territorial waters of Ukraine, otherwise they will be attacked as legitimate targets.
Tokmak Axis -
Deputy minister of defense of Ukraine: Ukrainian forces have breached the 1st Russian line of defense of in the south. This is in an area east of Russian occupied Robotyne.
Russian Territory –
Deputy Chief of Staff of the Naval Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in 2004-2020, Andrey Ryzhenko, said that the Olenegorsky Gornyak landing ship received too much damage, and therefore cannot be restored.
Partisan Resistance ——
In occupied Mariupol, Ukrainian partisans infiltrated the catering and poisoned the food with cyanide and pesticides for a party for about 20 Russian officers. 2 died immediately and 15 were hospitalized.
OUTLOOK –
Ukraine is successfully pushing its war in the Black Sea against Russian naval assets. Now into its 3d generation drone attack ships (more stealth, longer range, more explosives) it has taken out two ships in a matter of a few days (as well as possibly a third ship) as well as hit the Kerch Bridge a month ago. Some analysts/commentators have noted that while Russia has sought to create a Black Sea blockade of Ukraine, Ukraine has turned the tables and made it open season on Russian vessels in the region. To this extent, Ukraine is winning, in spite of not having a viable naval presence.
Ukraine’s deep game will continue to keep Russia jumping and off balance. Expect more deep Ukraine drone raids into Russia. As the war comes home to Moscovites, there will be greater pressure on putin over his war, destabilizing his govt and military power structure further.
Ukraine has penetrated the first line of defense and is close to being nosed up to the next line. This second line is reportedly even more heavily reinforced with concrete bunkers and secured on high ground. This would give some protection from HIMARS and cluster munitions, but not US GLSDB (ground-launched small diameter bomb) produced by Boeing and Saab (Sweden), and the JDAM-ER (joint direct attack munition-extended range). Further, Ukraine’s sustained assault on Russia logistics will make it hard for russia to sustain high volumes of fire for any period of time. Concrete hardened points don’t maneuver very well either.
What to expect? Well, I see Russia taking further steps to protect its ships in the Black Sea - further reducing combat readiness and capability. Over the next week Ukraine will start its methodological assault towards the second defensive line with the likely goal to find a weak spot to exploit then roll the flanks up. Enlargement of the current breech is a given and Robotnye will soon be liberated.
Consider this, one piece of statistics that I caught recently (but didn’t save) indicates that Russia since the start of the war has essentially lost all of its initial forces - meaning personnel, armor, tanks, artillery , etc - it committed to the fight. This was all their best trained and equipped forces. And the attrition of Russian forces have continued - so little surprise they are sending T-54 tanks to the front and 50-60 year old armor, etc. Approximately 1/3 of Russia’s military has been destroyed in this war, and they are losing ground.
Belarus -
See Europe / NATO General below on how close Belarus is playing with fire. Almost FAFO territory.
Poland –
Coordinating with Baltic nations in response to Wagner group / Belarus threats.
Europe / NATO General –
Lithuania has declared more than a thousand citizens of Russia and Belarus living in the country to be threats to national security. They will get deported back home.
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Latvian troops moving close to the border with Belarus. Poland, Lithuania and Latvia are all on high alert due to the arrival of the Wagner Group in Belarus.
Iran –
Iran is working to seize control of an extensive network of Syrian military industry facilities, collectively known by their French acronym of CERS, or the Scientific Studies and Research Center in English, according to a report released on Wednesday by the Alma Research and Education Center.
The report went on to assess that Hezbollah likely has mortar shells and missiles designed for chemical warheads, which can be armed with the help of CERS.
https://www.jns.org/middle-east/hezbollah/23/8/3/307307/
OBSERVATION - This would provide in country sources for chemical arms that can be transferred to Hezbollah in the event of war with Israel. I have little doubt that Iran down’t already have similar facilities in Iran proper.
Syria -
ISIS have now confirmed the death of its leader Abu Hussein al-Husseini al-Quraishi, naming Abu Hafs al-Hashimi al-Quraishi as his replacement. ISIS continues to be a significant threat in many regions.
Africa general – WAR WATCH
Winds of war continue to ramp up.
The President of Burkina Faso raises the alert level of his forces to a “state of war”.
France has not recognized the abolition of military agreements with Niger and refuses to withdraw its troops
The new government of Niger has decided to denounce all agreements with Paris in the military sphere. The French authorities, in response, refused to recognize him, explaining that the decision was made by an illegal government.
The Foreign Ministry said the deposed government of President Mohamed Bazum was “ the only one recognized by France and the entire international community .”
The military council in Niger expels the ambassadors of America, France, Togo and Nigeria and declares its readiness to contain aggression. Niger has also reportedly signed a contract with Wagner for military support.
OBSERVATION - The region staggers closer to open war. Not certain just what event will trigger shooting, my guess the most likely would be the attempt by Niger to forcibly remove French soldiers stationed in the country. Looking to see if France is moving military jets and the like to friendly countries on a readiness response.