Quiet, too quiet, almost like the calm before the storm. There are a lot of things boiling below the surface out there that can erupt at any moment.
Globalism / Great Reset –
More reporting of a UN resolution legalizing pedophilia making the rounds again, and how it essentially would outlaw religious beliefs that reject that resolution as well as not complying with the overall globalist lgbt (and what ever other alphabet is added) agendas.
Economy –
Mixed signals continue - however, it seems that the inflation rate may be turning higher when the next evaluation takes place.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
Mob looting of high end stores in Kalifornian stores continue to make news. Meanwhile, two Sikh store keepers of a small Stockton KA convince store are being investigated for assaulting a thug that jumped behind the counter and started pilfering cigarettes into a garbage bag - while threatening the clerks that he had a gun.
Meanwhile, NYC continues to clean up after the weekend riots.
My strong recommendation is if you live in or near one of these blue democrat hell-holes that you do your best to get the heck out of dodge as soon as possible. At the very, very least have a bug out plan. If you are one of those who voted the criminal enabling democrat scum to take power, don’t bother to move, you deserve what you voted for.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
U.S. Northern Command has stated that a Naval Flotilla of Ships from the Russian and Chinese Navies was Detected off the Coast of the Aleutian Islands in Southwestern Alaska last week causing at least 4 Arleigh Burke-Class Guided-Missile Destroyers and a number of Surveillance Aircraft from the U.S. Navy and Air Force to be Deployed in order to Shadow and Track the Flotilla which is stated by Officials to have stayed in International Waters during the Patrol.
OBSERVATION - This new item has been out there for a little while, but still notable. Govt has not given any word on the size of this flotilla, but judging from the response, had to be pretty large in modern terms.
Wuhan Plandemic –
In summary, more research continues to come out on how shoddy and shady the rollout of these wuhan mRNA jabs was and the cover up on clearly hazardous results.
POLITICAL FRONT –
More political fighting regarding Trump. His DC judge making it clear that she has bias and Trumps defense team is trying to get a change in venue.
Congress is quiet because they are all back campaigning in their states during August recess.
Japan –
FWIW, just went past the 78th anniversary of the Hiroshima nuke.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated August 6, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces are increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Russian attempt at launching a counter offensive to take pressure off its southern and eastern fronts has sputtered out. Initially, reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv morphed into Russian assaults that initially gained some ground but was quickly reversed, due largely to poor coordination between units.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
Logistics –
Two key Crimea bridges linking the peninsula to the mainland were taken out overnight.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
General Staff of Armed Forces of Ukraine estimates Russian losses at 250,240.
NOTE - this is more than twice the initial invasion force.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps ranging from the 80’s to high 90’s with thunderstorms scattered over the 14 day forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Ukraine struck two key bridges connecting Crimea to Kherson oblast. One bridge, the Chonhar Bridge, was hit for the second time. The other bridge was over the Tonkyi Strait near Henichesk, which connects the town of Henichesk with the Arabat Spit. The gas pipeline next to the bridge was damaged. There are only some many access points northward out of Crimea, and these two are critical.
Activity on the ground has been relatively limited to what seems to be attacks designed to improve defensive positions - primarily by Ukraine - to consolidate recent gains.
In the Kharkiv region, the Russian counter offensive has completely collapsed with Ukraine regaining all territory initially lost and then some.
OUTLOOK –
Many observers are viewing Ukraine’s current offensive tactics as an effort to create an asymmetrical battlefield situation. Put simply, it seeks to defang the Russian forces by denying them the logistics they need, plus a high priority on destroying their artillery advantage. It further exploits Russian clumsiness in bringing forces forward lumped into large, targetable groups and maintains pressure on those forces on the front - wearing them out because Russia has no reserve to cycle them out.
The situation continues to maintain a dynamic and the situation can change very rapidly.
Syria -
Airstrikes were reported on Damascus overnight with several soldiers reportedly killed. Suspected Israeli airstrike on Iran/Hezbollah site(s) but no details yet.
Africa general – WAR WATCH
Winds of war continue to ramp up.
Niger’s coup leaders have closed the country’s airspace until further notice, citing the threat of military intervention from their neighbors.
The West African group of countries, ECOWAS, had earlier warned it could use force if President Mohamed Bazoum was not reinstated by 23:00 GMT on Sunday.
OBSERVATION - Things are wound up, but will fighting actually break out. I think if the Niger regime attempts to forcibly remove French and US forces, the bullets will fly. Right now there is a lot of words.
Good advice...
Globalism / Great Reset –
Arup Group, which is as an official WEF partner, released a report demanding that the consumption of clothing, cars, electronics, and food must be eradicated to virtually zero in order to “save the planet.”
OBSERVATION - Note that the global elite will keep all their toys. But the consumption of food must be eradicated - folks, that’s genocide on a massive, off the charts, level.
Economy –
Tyson is shutting down four meat processing plants, saying that they are losing too much money. They claim high meat prices combined with high energy and other costs. This covers not only chickens, but beef as well. Beef is currently selling at record high prices and herds are at multi decade lows due to the recent impacts from drought. Chicken prices are still exceptionally high, though most of the effects from the bird flu have dissipated.
OBSERVATION - Loss of production capability is not a good thing in the event of another shockwave like wuhan or similar disaster. It will only drive the price of meat even higher.
**
With some banks under financial stress because of higher interest rates, Congress and the Federal Reserve want to raise bank capital reserve requirements. This generally means holding more government bonds, many of which dropped precipitously in value last year as interest rates spiked higher. However, by definition, higher capital reserves mean less money available to make loans. Access to credit for business and family borrowers gets squeezed.
OBSERVATION - Some note that these new requirements would not have prevented the recent failures of lenders such as SVB. But they will make borrowing costs more expensive and loans harder to get. This will hurt small business’ ability to access loans as well as hurt banks that are in good financial condition.
**
(Reuters) - Moody’s cut credit ratings of several small to mid-sized U.S. banks on Monday and said it may downgrade some of the nation’s biggest lenders, warning that the sector’s credit strength will likely be tested by funding risks and weaker profitability.
Moody’s cut the ratings of 10 banks by one notch and placed six banking giants, including Bank of New York Mellon, US Bancorp, State Street and Truist Financial on review for potential downgrades.
“Many banks’ second-quarter results showed growing profitability pressures that will reduce their ability to generate internal capital,” Moody’s said in a note.
OBSERVATION - Contrary to the narrative, the banking sector still has some considerable problems that could cause more failures should the right conditions hit.
CW2 / Domestic violence -
FBI Special Agent Charles McGonigal is expected to plead guilty next week to conspiring with a sanctioned Russian oligarch Oleg Deripaska. Same dude that helped efforts to prosecute Trump for Russian collusion / conspiracy.
Military / Strategic Activity / Deployments –
More than 3,000 U.S. sailors and Marines reached the Red Sea on Sunday aboard the assault ship USS Bataan in response to Iran’s “harassment and seizures of merchant vessels,”.
Wuhan and other “new” Plandemics – (Section change)
With wuhan fading, except for the lawsuits and scientific studies showing gross negligence and fraud, the drum beat of ‘new’ viruses is on the rise and worthy of being collected in this section.
**
Rumors that British scientists are working on a high-security project at Porton Down, the top-secret government laboratory, to develop prototype vaccines to tackle ‘Disease X’ when it strikes.
OBSERVATION
Rumors and warnings of a new pandemic have been rampant over the past year. This British project is worrisome in that it could be a precursor like the infamous Project 201 exercise that predated the wuhan outbreak by a few months.
**
On Friday, July 21, the Biden administration quietly announced the creation of a new permanent office within the White House called the Office of Pandemic Preparedness and Response Policy, or OPPR.
Joe Biden has named a military man, retired Air Force Maj. General Paul Friedrichs, to head up the new office.
OBSERVATION - This points to one thing. The next plandemic will be ruled by an even more tyrannical medical martial law than ever.
POLITICAL FRONT –
The release of the J6 videos - where are they?
**
federal judge dealt several blows Monday to Special Counsel Jack Smith’s prosecution of former President Donald Trump for his alleged mishandling of classified documents.
U.S. Judge Aileen Cannon, a Trump appointee, denied the Justice Department’s request to keep fillings sealed in the case and she removed two from the record. Cannon also questioned “the legal propriety” of prosecutors working for Special Counsel Jack Smith to use “an out-of-district grand jury proceeding to continue to investigate.”
OBSERVATION - Smith is using a very unorthodox scheme of a DC grand jury to investigate an alleged crime committed in Florida. Judge Cannon apparently isn’t happy with this and is holding Smith to some extremely high standards - even broaching the possibility of prosecutorial misconduct.
**
Waiting for Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis’ to invoke Georgia’s RICO (Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations) Act, and have Trump arraigned by the end of the week at the earliest, next week in all probability .
Cyber attacks/warfare –
White House will host a summit on Monday to explore ways to improve school cybersecurity across the country in the face of rising ransomware assaults. There has been a rise in cyberattacks that have targeted schools. During the 2022–2023 academic year, at least eight K–12 school districts across the country were targeted by “significant cyberattacks,” according to the White House. Four of these attacks resulted in schools being forced to either cancel classes or shut down entirely.
China –
According to “Spiegel Online” China’s trade exports continue to drop. After already having weak months before, the exports in July shrank by another 14.5% compared to one year ago. The war in Ukraine plays a decisive role in this slump, due to high inflation, high interest rates and high energy prices.
OBSERVATION - China’s economic woes have been front and center for a long time now. It was expected to grow substantially this summer, but that outlook is now been pushed further into the future.
Russia -
WAR WATCH - into the second year of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine - Feb 24th, 2022
CURRENT ASSESSMENT - Updated August 6, 2023
Russia is on a defensive footing across most of Ukraine, relying on Russian doctrinal defense in depth to blunt the Ukrainian offensive. However, Russian forces are increasingly stretched and undermanned, with increasingly insufficient artillery support.
Russian attempt at launching a counter offensive to take pressure off its southern and eastern fronts has sputtered out. Initially, reports that Russia has amassed about 180,000 troops opposite of Kharkiv morphed into Russian assaults that initially gained some ground but was quickly reversed, due largely to poor coordination between units.
Russia’s strategic ballistic and cruise missiles continue to show evidence of massively reduced inventories. Recent attacks indicate the Russia has started to produce its own Shahed drones with Iranian assistance. Russia capable of continued, though limited, attacks in this arena.
Russia is capable of launching small scale attacks in various sectors of company and small sized elements, but any large scale offensive action in the face of the heavy demands from defending against the Ukrainian offensive are essentially nil.
********
Russian forces have worked to close gaps in their defensive lines and expand existing fortifications along highways in occupied Ukraine. However, new fortifications are worthless unless you have the people to man them and the artillery to support them. Russia is running very short of both.
RUMINT-
There are reports of “panic” in the Black Sea fleet following recent Ukraine attacks. Russia initially dispersed their ship groups as much as possible in areas that they once considered safe for themselves and their fleet. But now security for them is being on the move to avoid Ukraine stealth drones.
Kerch Bridge update –
Kerch bridge remains closed to traffic. With the destruction of bridges in northeastern Crimea, traffic (particularly Russian vacationers) must now travel further west to the Armyansk crossing into Kherson. This includes military traffic too.
Logistics –
Losses of key bridges in Crimea has force Russian logistical lines to/from Crimea to a single crossing point further to the west, drastically increasing the time for response as well as exposing it to Ukraine interdictions.
Russian Personnel Issues –-
Economic Impact –
Russia’s GDP is expected to grow about 1.5% over the next year. Some commentators shouting that the numbers show sanctions are not working. OTOH, 1.5% is extremely anemic and displays a great deal of weakness.
Ukraine –
WEATHER FORECAST – Temps ranging from the 80’s to high 90’s with thunderstorms scattered over the 14 day forecast period.
24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Deeply buried under the tons of political related news and OPSEC, Ukraine has made it known of an addition river crossing of the Dniper River near Kozachi Laheri, south of the Dnipro River and east of Kherson city. The operation most likely started 2 days ago, but OPSEC prevented reporting of it for good reason.
Multiple pro-Russian sources express their “concern” of the situation, since a bridgehead has been established. Some Russian sources even claim of a strike as deep as 800m and the first line of Russian defense broken.
This is especially important because there’s a major road not far from Kozachi Laheri. If it’s cut, the Russian reinforcements will need more time to bring forces to the Dnipro frontline. This also means Ukraine can now advance towards Oleshky from three directions, which could allow them to completely dislodge Russian forces in the area.
This operation is relatively small in numbers, but is in a sector Russia has largely neglected due to priorities to support the defense in areas to the east. Russia also a large lake serving as a very significant barrier to Ukraine operations - that is until Russia blew up the dam and now the lakebed has had a good chunk of hot summer to dry out and allow crossings.
Russia continues to launch small, poorly coordinated attacks in eastern Ukraine that are easily repulsed by Ukrainian forces.
Tokmak Axis -
Ukraine defense forces have tactical success at Mala Tokmachka - Robotyne direction.
Kherson Axis -
Expansion of the Ukraine bridgeheads on the east bank of the Dniper River.
Crimean front ———
Explosions were reported in Northern Crimea, near Dzhankoi. Likely ammo storage sites targeted by Ukraine long range weapons.
OUTLOOK –
The strategic attacks between Ukraine and Russia have slowed for a minute, action on the ground is leaking out. Ukraine continues to outmaneuver Russian forces around Robotyne, Bakhmut and elsewhere. The establishment of another bridgehead across the Dniper will become increasingly worrisome to Russian planners. They at one time had the 7th VDV defending the line - one of the better trained and functioning forces left in Ukraine - and shown to be so by its successful withdrawal last fall from the west side of the Dniper River.
Elements of that unit have been piecemeal to the fight further to the east in an attempt to stop the Ukraine offensive to the south. This has left far worse trained Russian national guard and mobilization forces to hold the line - and that line is now crumbling. This seems to be an economy of force operation by Ukraine to push Russian forces back far enough so that the crossings can be expanded to permit a larger force to cross. This would greatly endanger Russia’s hold on Crimea as this is a very short path to the Armyansk crossing into Crimea. Thus Russia would be forced to address a third, potentially even more serious push on Crimea.
Other ground operations are still in a dynamic mode.
Belarus -
The Belarusian Ministry of Defense announced yesterday that they they have begun Large-Scale Military Exercises near the “Suwalki Gap” in the Border Regions with Poland and Lithuania and that the Exercises will be based on lessons that have been learned so far during the “Special Military Operation” in Ukraine; during these Exercises there will reportedly be Significant Movements of Mechanized Armor and Tanks of the Belarusian/Russian Armed Forces in these Regions as well as the Flights of Combat and Surveillance Drones.
OBSERVATION - Belarus would be extremely foolish to try to create a Russian corridor to Kaliningrad. However, the wild card is the presence of Wagner forces and their mystical and unknown mission in Belarus.
Turkey –
Some are thinking Russia may be behind the recent explosion at a grain processing site in Turkey. The cite the proximity of the explosion to the possible visit of Putin’s representative to Turkey, where the grain corridor is planned to be discussed.
Most likely the explosion was the result of grain dust - a highly explosive scenario in itself.