Since the two parties’ nominees have effectively been chosen, the remaining primaries have effectively become irrelevant. For many, if not most, voters, that fact is probably driving down voter participation. The end result now is that the results, however they are analyzed, man nothing . . .
Sorry, but analysis does mean something.
Yes, you can argue presidential race decided... so lower turnout, but that does not mean that here is nothing in the numbers.
60,000 Democrats wrote in votes, that’s not insignificant, to put it in perspective in 2012 during Obama’s re-election primary here, there was a concerted effort to have a write in protest vote in that primary and only 20,000 write in votes occurred.
Biden won the state by ~40k votes.... do I think most of those 60k will end up voting for Biden? most probably will when its all said and done, or they just wont vote at all... Though I can say at least 1 Democrat in my district wrote in Donald Trump as his primary selection, which I found amusing. Biden is looking a disaster, this is the absolutely worst showing by a sitting president during their re-election primary certainly in my lifetime in PA.
The media will want to deflect with focusing on Trump’s top line, but Biden’s are the ones that are just draw droppingly shocking... a Sitting President could not get 90% of his own party to support his re-election, that’s unprecidented. That’s the real news story, not that Trump didn’t get 90%.
Trump’s base and the GOP base are not the same there is about an 80% overlap... Trump was never going to get over 85% of the primary vote here with Haley still on the ballot no matter what. Him getting 83% isn’t really a story... Biden not getting 90% of his parties support, that’s HUGE.