Sure, a tough one. However, a closer time window would help, if indeed there was a prediction of a strong quake.
Everyone..people AND governemnt..knew that Katrina was coming...95% of lives lost could probably have been avoided...but still..look what happened..
Just saw this on toad prediction,lol!
I lived in Japan in the mid 90’s and there was an old professors from one of the universities that seemed to be constantly predicting the “big one.” He had laser measuring equipment on the two sides of Sagami Bay, southwest of Tokyo, and another on O-shima, an island on the south end of that bay. If he saw changes in those distances he would predict an earthquake. As I recall he did predict some big quakes, but more often he predicted quakes that didn’t happen.