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To: Red Badger

How close will it be in 2021?

Or is that asking “the wrong question”? (Cue spooky music...)


4 posted on 12/17/2015 12:49:51 PM PST by FourtySeven (47)
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To: FourtySeven

You might not wanna know......................


6 posted on 12/17/2015 12:51:21 PM PST by Red Badger (READ MY LIPS: NO MORE BUSHES!...............)
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To: FourtySeven

They cannot really project its orbit that far in advance due to the Yarkovsky effect..........................

The Yarkovsky effect is a force acting on a rotating body in space caused by the anisotropic emission of thermal photons, which carry momentum. It is usually considered in relation to meteoroids or small asteroids (about 10 cm to 10 km in diameter), as its influence is most significant for these bodies.


11 posted on 12/17/2015 12:55:22 PM PST by Red Badger (READ MY LIPS: NO MORE BUSHES!...............)
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To: FourtySeven

Will it get close enough that I won’t need to bother with a haircut?


15 posted on 12/17/2015 1:06:08 PM PST by Boogieman
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To: FourtySeven
How close will it be in 2021?

1.36 AU, or 1.36 x 92.5 million miles = 125 million miles

http://mel.ess.ucla.edu/radarwiki/index.php/FutureTargetsJDG20100601

16 posted on 12/17/2015 1:15:07 PM PST by ETL (Ted Cruz 2016!! -- For a better, safer America)
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To: FourtySeven

Hold on. I’m not sure if that 125 million miles in 2021 is correct. According to that chart I linked to, it’s at that same exact distance every time it makes a “close approach”, including this recent one (Dec 2015) where the posted article says it’ll come to within 6.7 million miles. So that number I provided obviously can’t be correct.


18 posted on 12/17/2015 1:24:14 PM PST by ETL (Ted Cruz 2016!! -- For a better, safer America)
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