I think we should credit you. AFAIK you were the first to “see the wrinkle in the spread sheet”. You were right about Italy. They are “clearly at the top”, their #new deaths leveled off days ago. Turns out ten days was enough. We are at ten days and look. We are flattening out. Space. It turns out space has saved us. The USA is so big we have umpteen small epidemics not one big one. I don’t believe anyone could have predicted we would be so lucky. We will still have “hot spots” as each urban center heads “up the hill” in the next two weeks. Semantic, YOU should take the credit, you saw it first.
Many thanks for y’all’s analysis!