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Posted on 03/26/2020 11:30:15 AM PDT by willk
Epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, who created the highly-cited Imperial College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by organizations like The New York Times and has been instrumental in governmental policy decision-making, offered a massive revision to his model on Wednesday.
Ferguson’s model projected 2.2 million dead people in the United States and 500,000 in the U.K. from COVID-19 if no action were taken to slow the virus and blunt its curve.
However, after just one day of ordered lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson has changed his tune, revealing that far more people likely have the virus than his team figured. Now, the epidemiologist predicts, hospitals will be just fine taking on COVID-19 patients and estimates 20,000 or far fewer people will die from the virus itself or from its agitation of other ailments, as reported by New Scientist Wednesday.
Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailywire.com ...
You can never trust the models used today.
They all suck hard and the people building them have agendas they aren’t separating from their “work”.
Team Apocalypse weeps seeing this reassessment.
“Where’s our hockey stick?”
It wasn’t a prediction, it was a wish.
did the FEDs\virus team rely on this?
[[if no action were taken to slow the virus]]
umm, what country would “Take NO action” during a crisis?
Looks like the chickens are coming home to roost for the panic pushers on FR.
Otherwise known as the FEARPERS. A lot of them haven’t been posting much here lately!
Let it be played up as a panic. I’ve given up trying to get my family to see that it’s not THAT bad, but despair-porn is a hard drug to quit.
But just let it be played as a panic, and when it inevitably goes away, credit the President for his excellent leadership and rub it in the fear-mongers’ faces.
And let’s not forget the 2 Million dead Roesenweasel’s sister predicted.
Is he kin to that foolish global-warming hockey stick guy? These Lefty cheerleaders of disaster ought to be fired on the spot for scaring the old, the young, and the gullible with their wild scenarios based on fictional models. But hey, they sell a few books.
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