Texas looks like it may be getting over the hump, other than Bexar County (San Antonio). California Hot Zone is basically Los Angeles County.
It doesn't take Q-level spelunking to see how BOGUS the stats are. For example, the State of Texas had to tell San Antonio, on July 14th, to quit including "Probables" in their confirmed case counts, reducing them by at least 15%. Then the State of Texas goes on to say they have included results from 221K antibody examinations [many false positives!], and, BY THE WAY, they cannot "De-duplicate total test numbers for private labs."
Yeah ... it's just too hard to clean up the data, even though the whole economy of the U.S. and many people's livelihoods are totally leveraged to it!
Shame on the CDC and everyone else responsible for this garbage data.
These examples jumped out from just one County (Bexar) I happened to look at today.
The duplicates are interesting because a friend of my daughter's who DID test positive (and had mild symptoms) was required to test every week for the next 4 weeks until he got a negative in order to return to work.
I strongly suspect he was counted as POSITIVE 4 TIMES.
Anyway, these numbers will start to drop very soon. New York has dropped over 90% in both Cases Reported and Deaths Reported on a daily basis since their peak in late April.
CHINAVIRUS DATA:
1. United States CHINAVIRUS Confirmed Cases through about mid-June
2. Highly (and Deliberately) Contaminated Data from mid-June Forward
(contaminated with antibody-test false positives and dubious "Probables")
Date New Total New Linear Model
Cases Cases Since
Actual + FAKE 5/9/2020
3/14/2020 2,717
3/15/2020 761 3,478
3/16/2020 1,167 4,645
3/17/2020 1,717 6,362
3/18/2020 1,407 7,769
3/19/2020 5,911 13,680
3/20/2020 5,605 19,285
3/21/2020 7,462 26,747
3/22/2020 8,478 35,225
3/23/2020 11,107 46,332
3/24/2020 8,816 55,148
3/25/2020 13,870 69,018
3/26/2020 16,635 85,653
3/27/2020 19,363 105,016
3/28/2020 19,448 124,464
3/29/2020 17,892 142,356
3/30/2020 22,003 164,359
3/31/2020 25,151 189,510
4/1/2020 27,005 216,515
4/2/2020 28,698 245,213
4/3/2020 32,740 277,953
4/4/2020 34,123 312,076
4/5/2020 25,544 337,620
4/6/2020 30,576 368,196
4/7/2020 31,916 400,112
4/8/2020 32,020 432,132
4/9/2020 33,618 465,750
4/10/2020 35,551 501,301
4/11/2020 31,942 533,243
4/12/2020 27,289 560,532
4/13/2020 26,623 587,155
4/14/2020 26,937 614,092
4/15/2020 30,468 644,560
4/16/2020 35,221 679,781
4/17/2020 30,550 710,331
4/18/2020 29,521 739,852
4/19/2020 24,413 764,265
4/20/2020 28,648 792,913
4/21/2020 32,128 825,041
4/22/2020 24,051 849,092
4/23/2020 37,617 886,709
4/24/2020 38,329 925,038
4/25/2020 35,858 960,896
4/26/2020 26,426 987,322
4/27/2020 23,185 1,010,507
4/28/2020 25,258 1,035,765
4/29/2020 28,807 1,064,572
4/30/2020 30,638 1,095,210
5/1/2020 36,242 1,131,452
5/2/2020 29,312 1,160,764
5/3/2020 27,358 1,188,122
5/4/2020 24,778 1,212,900
5/5/2020 24,763 1,237,663
5/6/2020 25,520 1,263,183
5/7/2020 29,440 1,292,623
5/8/2020 29,162 1,321,785
5/9/2020 25,524 1,347,309 1,347,309
5/10/2020 20,329 1,367,638 1,369,669
5/11/2020 18,196 1,385,834 1,392,029
5/12/2020 22,802 1,408,636 1,414,389
5/13/2020 21,712 1,430,348 1,436,749
5/14/2020 27,245 1,457,593 1,459,109
5/15/2020 26,692 1,484,285 1,481,469
5/16/2020 23,488 1,507,773 1,503,829
5/17/2020 19,891 1,527,664 1,526,189
5/18/2020 22,630 1,550,294 1,548,549
5/19/2020 20,279 1,570,573 1,570,909
5/20/2020 22,466 1,593,039 1,593,269
5/21/2020 27,863 1,620,902 1,615,629
5/22/2020 24,192 1,645,094 1,637,989
5/23/2020 21,734 1,666,828 1,660,349
5/24/2020 19,608 1,686,436 1,682,709
5/25/2020 19,790 1,706,226 1,705,069
5/26/2020 19,049 1,725,275 1,727,429
5/27/2020 20,528 1,745,803 1,749,789
5/28/2020 22,658 1,768,461 1,772,149
5/29/2020 25,069 1,793,530 1,794,509
5/30/2020 23,290 1,816,820 1,816,869
5/31/2020 20,350 1,837,170 1,839,229
6/1/2020 22,153 1,859,323 1,861,589
6/2/2020 21,882 1,881,205 1,883,949
6/3/2020 20,578 1,901,783 1,906,309
6/4/2020 22,268 1,924,051 1,928,669
6/5/2020 41,657 1,965,708 1,951,029
6/6/2020 22,876 1,988,584 1,973,389
6/7/2020 18,825 2,007,409 1,995,749
6/8/2020 19,084 2,026,493 2,018,109
6/9/2020 19,056 2,045,549 2,040,469
6/10/2020 20,852 2,066,401 2,062,829
6/11/2020 23,300 2,089,701 2,085,189
6/12/2020 27,221 2,116,922 2,107,549
6/13/2020 25,302 2,142,224 2,129,909
6/14/2020 19,920 2,162,144 2,152,269
6/15/2020 20,806 2,182,950 2,174,629
6/16/2020 25,450 2,208,400 2,196,989
6/17/2020 25,971 2,234,371 2,219,349
6/18/2020 29,280 2,263,651 2,241,709
6/19/2020 33,539 2,297,190 2,264,069
6/20/2020 33,388 2,330,578 2,286,429
6/21/2020 26,079 2,356,657 2,308,789
6/22/2020 31,496 2,388,153 2,331,149
6/23/2020 36,015 2,424,168 2,353,509
6/24/2020 38,386 2,462,554 2,375,869
6/25/2020 42,034 2,504,588 2,398,229
6/26/2020 48,368 2,552,956 2,420,589
6/27/2020 43,581 2,596,537 2,442,949
6/28/2020 40,540 2,637,077 2,465,309
6/29/2020 44,734 2,681,811 2,487,669
6/30/2020 46,042 2,727,853 2,510,029
7/1/2020 52,100 2,779,953 2,532,389
7/2/2020 57,236 2,837,189 2,554,749
7/3/2020 53,399 2,890,588 2,577,109
7/4/2020 45,182 2,935,770 2,599,469
7/5/2020 47,158 2,982,928 2,621,829
7/6/2020 57,905 3,040,833 2,644,189
7/7/2020 56,251 3,097,084 2,666,549
7/8/2020 61,848 3,158,932 2,688,909
7/9/2020 61,067 3,219,999 2,711,269
7/10/2020 71,787 3,291,786 2,733,629
7/11/2020 63,860 3,355,646 2,755,989
7/12/2020 58,349 3,413,995 2,778,349
7/13/2020 65,488 3,479,483 2,800,709
7/14/2020 65,594 3,545,077 2,823,069
7/15/2020 71,670 3,616,747 2,845,429
7/16/2020 78,278 3,695,025 2,867,789
7/17/2020 74,987 3,770,012 2,890,149
7/18/2020 63,259 3,833,271 2,912,509
7/19/2020 65,279 3,898,550 2,934,869
7/20/2020 2,957,229
7/21/2020 2,979,589
7/22/2020 3,001,949
Great analysis. Thanks.
Extra credit for ths word smithing:
It doesn’t take Q-level spelunking to see how BOGUS the stats are.
Any comments on the replied-to post?