However the maximum new cases is consistently decreasing
Seven day average leveling out
Leading indicators decreasing
Lagging indicators increasing
By definition apex
I took a stab at creating a visual of what I believe you're saying here by offsetting the daily new deaths around 14-16 days from daily new cases (accounting for the fact that it takes an average of that much time for a case to resolve in death when it unfortunately goes that way). Important to note that this is NOT a perfect correlation because testing activity has steadily increased and is identifying more and more cases that are not serious at all (mild to moderate, non-hospitalization cases, and even asymptomatic cases - all important to helping to control the spread by getting those infected persons to self-quarantine, but the deaths line will fall increasingly behind the cases line under those circumstances).
It's super quick and dirty, but I thought it might make it easier to see why the recent numbers actually do make sense when you consider the numbers of the past couple weeks. I kept the 7-day moving average lines in place to make it easier to identify the trends. If that's correct, I believe we should expect to see a somewhat consistent rise in the 7-day moving average of daily new deaths over the next ~10 days before it levels off. Where it goes from there depends on what the daily new cases line does moving forward. Is that what you expect to see?
Assuming I have the lagging indicator timing right, I THINK this suggests we peak on or about August 3rd with a 7-day moving average of around 1,200 daily new deaths. All very, very ballparky. The 7-day moving average as of today is 887. It’s an increase, but nothing like a doubling or tripling of where we are right now as one might guess just looking at the case numbers in a vacuum.