No, you don’t.
We are now about 30 days into reopening and the skyrocketing cases and the death rate is FALLING.
Those are published facts.
Where exactly are you seeing a 7-day average trend of daily new cases rising and a 7-day average trend of daily new deaths falling when accounting for the 15 day offset?
Again, if you’re talking about the CFR, who cares? Unless that falls below the IFR of 0.64-0.66%, who cares? We already know the CFR is high. We’ve known that for months. That’s the nature of that metric; it will ALWAYS be higher than the actual fatality rate because there is not perfect testing.