I hope you are right about Trump being on track to win. I just saw a discouraging Nate Silver map on Twitter that had Biden with 400+ EV’s to Trumps 100+ EV’s. I don’t know who this Nate Silver guy is but I hope he’s a kook and is wrong.
I’m seeing it being the other way around.
Nate Silver doesn’t know what he’s talking about. He had one big victory, predicting the number of states Obama would win in 2008. In 2016, he gave Hillary great odds of winning on Election Night. At 10:30 pm, Stephanopolous asked him “changing your forecast, aren’t you?” Nate Silver responded by saying the betting markets were predicting a Trump win.
Nate Silver got the 2012 Presidential Election correct
Other than that he has been way off
In 2016 he said over 70% chance Hillary would win
REGARDING NATE SILVER AND 538:
A very different interpretation from Tim Pool, the walk away Occupy dude:
Huge Trump win in Michigan predicted:
Nate Silver map on Twitter that had Biden with 400+ EVs to Trumps 100+ EVs.
ROTFLMAO!
And you entertain the possibilty that might actually happen?
LMAO!
It ended up being exactly the opposite - it was Trump that ended up with 304 EV's.