Posted on 09/19/2022 7:29:31 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
As Democrats’ prospects for the midterms have improved — they’re now up to a 71 percent chance of keeping the Senate and a 29 percent chance of retaining the House, according to the 2022 FiveThirtyEight midterm election forecast1 — I’ve observed a corresponding increase in concern among liberals that the polls might overestimate Democrats’ position again, as they did in 2016 and 2020.
Even among commenters who are analyzing the race from an arm’s-length distance, there sometimes seems to be a presumption that the polls will be biased toward Democrats.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
I’m more concerned that democrats are manipulating the polls to cover their upcoming election fraud.
It’s easier to cheat in state wide elections. They can bust out the “turnout” in teh big city.
Is the Pope a communist? Are the Ukrainians getting their asses kicked in the war?
538 seems to have their finger on the pulse of Democrat cheating.
5-3-8, the seem people that Projected that Hillary was a 99% likelihood to win the presidency in 2016. Never taken anything from them seriously ever since.
The only pollster I’d admit to voting GOP/MAGA is Richard Barris. And even then I’d likely hang up!
He's a fraud that uses biased polls to justify his shtick.
Act Like people still need convincing.
Encourage people to vote
Nate Silver, Nate Silver???? The leftist whore needs attention. Why post this crap from a whore?
Exactly, the margin of fraud will conquer margin of polls.
Will they? Will?
They ALWAYS do.
It’s not “going” to happen, it has been and is happening.
If anyone is an expert on DNC overestimation, it would be socialist hack Nate Silver.
No brainer! Padding democrat pole numbers to create plausibility of winning in order to cover their vote fraud and election rigging. End of story.
Nate Silver can go shit in his hat.
I’m more worried that you can’t even measure Republicans versus Democrats because you have submerged Republicans now due to the attacks by the Deep state based on political views. How can you possibly get the right mix of Democrats or Republicans when you can’t even measure the number of Republicans?
Anyone who’s not stupid realizes a poll is nothing more than a blog post. They can make up any outcome they want and fake the data to support it. Propaganda tools for manipulation of voting behavior.
Partisan Media Shill and Stooge alert.
Of course. It's only their bought-and-paid-for media that makes these old Democrat geezers and their younger, indoctrinated, acolytes seem like some sort of vast majority.
So much easier to cheat that way.
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