Yeah I can’t really speak to other states, not that familiar with the trends.
My rough guess: 30k on Thursday and Friday, 20k on a slower Saturday and let’s call Sunday a push. Sunday EV is limited to major metro areas (plus a few red counties impacted by Ian), so while EV has not been kind to the Dems anywhere but Broward, it won’t help us much either at that point.
Would be pushing 300k (8%-ish?) advantage by Election Day? I can’t imagine the Democrats are expecting some massive turnout on ED given the EV trends.
I was expecting more mail ins as we get closer but guess not
Don’t forget Monday only a few red Ian counties voting and the rest mail ins
So dems should gain that day