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Nate Silver Sounds the Alarm on Biden Campaign: ‘He’s Losing Now and There’s No Plan’
Mediaite ^ | Feb 19th, 2024 | Isaac Schorr

Posted on 02/19/2024 11:54:36 AM PST by packagingguy

Political commentator and elections analyst Nate Silver is sounding the alarm about President Joe Biden’s chances of winning reelection, writing in a Substack post that Biden is “losing” and appears to have no clear plan to right the ship.

While Silver believes that Biden was “a reasonably clear favorite” a year ago, he now believes that he’s “probably the underdog” due to his poor approval rating, dearth of “contingencies that could improves his situation,” as well as public perception of his age and abilities.

The FiveThirtyEight founder went on to argued that if Biden won’t run a “normal” campaign during which he would accept interview requests and other high-profile opportunities to improve his situation, he should step aside...

Biden could drop out of the race and allow Democrats to pick their nominee at their convention in August. “If the past couple of weeks are any evidence, it might nevertheless be Democrats’ best option for beating Trump,” he wrote. But failing that, his prescription for the Biden campaign is to complete four challenging interviews over the course of the next few weeks.

“This really isn’t too much to ask. These are the sorts of interviews that every other recent president has done,” submitted Silver, who concluded that if he can’t, “it’s awfully audacious to ask Americans to make him president for another four years.”

(Excerpt) Read more at mediaite.com ...


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: joebiden; natesilver
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To: packagingguy

Some guy Bannon has a lot of faith in was on War Room today, and the subject was how Michelle will be nominated at the Convention. He has a new movie out exposing her and her political hopes and dreams.


41 posted on 02/19/2024 12:54:53 PM PST by MayflowerMadam (Fraud vitiates everything." - SCOTUS)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

“putting Trump in jail or killing him”

Yes. I would not be surprised if the whole family were to be cooling their heels in some prison four months from now. Including Melania and Barron


42 posted on 02/19/2024 12:56:52 PM PST by MayflowerMadam (Fraud vitiates everything." - SCOTUS)
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To: Trumpisourlastchance

The GOP would rather have Biden than Trump..Paul Ryan and the Turtle did nothing…

The GOP is useless at the federal level….they do what the lobbyists want and get re-elected….


43 posted on 02/19/2024 12:58:28 PM PST by Hojczyk
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To: PGR88

You have a point…but who gets the big prize?

For a while it seemed like the Dems needed a “woman of color” if Kamala was to be jettisoned.

But now with all the new Democrat “voters” (migrants) Black people aren’t needed as much.

You know Gavin is itching for the job but Michelle would have to be drug kicking and screaming into the Oval Office (according to people who know her).

Democrats have to have someone waiting in the wings, but who?!


44 posted on 02/19/2024 1:10:35 PM PST by packagingguy
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To: Dilbert San Diego
President Kamala Harris.

Get used to it.

45 posted on 02/19/2024 1:23:16 PM PST by Former Proud Canadian (It's NOT a vaccine)
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To: Gay State Conservative

Biden, Joe will go quietly, Joe doesn’t know where he is. It’s Jill who will scratch and claw to keep power.
Joe won’t be on the ballot in Nov. That’s already set in stone. Any speculation about him running, is a waste of time.
The question is who will they put up?
Kammie is definitely a no-go. Mike is too lazy. Newsome isn’t popular enough. PIAPS wants it so bad, but the baggage is to heavy.
I look for someone else, Liz Cheney, Mitt Romney, or Shifty Schiff come to mind, as their best chance.


46 posted on 02/19/2024 1:28:13 PM PST by Fireone (Who killed Obama's chef?)
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To: Bshaw
Many states have candidate filing deadlines that have already passed.

So did New Jersey when Bob Torricelli was indicted. They still put old Frank Lautenburg on the ballot, and the NJ SC said it was okay, because you can't just have an empty democratic party contender.

47 posted on 02/19/2024 1:31:13 PM PST by Alas Babylon! (Repeal the Patriot Act; Abolish the DHS; reform FBI top to bottom!)
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To: libstripper

The Deep State can get rid of Biden any time they want to—it is called assassination—they have the knowledge, skills, ability and staff to do it.

The only interesting question is whether they want to do it.

Stay tuned....


48 posted on 02/19/2024 1:40:19 PM PST by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...

49 posted on 02/19/2024 1:57:47 PM PST by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: packagingguy; BobL; MinorityRepublican; Publius

Nate Silver is perfectly free to make his own prediction. I predict there are enough abort-o-crats in this population to potentially help re-elect the mean, nasty, arrogant, demented, petty little man back into office.


50 posted on 02/19/2024 2:01:02 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (FBI out of Florida!)
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To: packagingguy

Oh there’s a plan! I believe we’re seeing little bits of it all the time. Notice how there were stories about Hunter, and more and more proof? Notice how recently, those stories have all turned to JAMES Biden. They’re setting the table “You decide to not run, and ALL of this goes away. But if you don’t, we’re going to not only let the R’s investigate all of this, but we’re going to give them all the info they need to cook your entire family”.


51 posted on 02/19/2024 2:36:56 PM PST by FrankRizzo890
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To: packagingguy

Biden’s and the Dems with Biden leading the ticket two biggest negatives are the chaos they created at the border and Biden’s dementia making him the easiest candidate to beat and pull down the Dem Congress with him. I would hate to lose the Biden dementia issue and would hope Biden stays at the top of the ticket, but I cannot see this in the cards. Either he will drop out or the Dem elite will dump him.


52 posted on 02/19/2024 2:52:53 PM PST by chuckee
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To: FrankRizzo890

Rush predicted the exact scenario you speak of. That was shortly before he died.

Who the replacement is becomes the mystery.


53 posted on 02/19/2024 3:01:28 PM PST by packagingguy
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To: packagingguy

Who?
Give me an H
Give me an I
Give an llary!


54 posted on 02/19/2024 3:06:03 PM PST by Reily (!!)
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To: Reily

Not sure about the Hildabeast. Of course she would kill to have the job (pun intended).

The British betting sites have Big Mike and Gavin at #3 and #4, respectively.

Team Nancy vs. Team Obarky

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/us-politics/us-presidential-election-2024/winner


55 posted on 02/19/2024 3:14:39 PM PST by packagingguy
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To: Alas Babylon!

“So did New Jersey when Bob Torricelli was indicted. They still put old Frank Lautenburg on the ballot, and the NJ SC said it was okay, because you can’t just have an empty democratic party contender.”

That’s a NJ state senatorial election. Each state has their own deadlines, so I don’t quite see how we’re having the same conversation?

Perhaps this will help, see the column titled “Filing Deadline.”

https://ballotpedia.org/Deadline_to_run_for_president,_2024


56 posted on 02/19/2024 4:02:07 PM PST by Bshaw (A nefarious deceit is upon us all!)
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To: packagingguy

She’ll trying to, as long she’s alive she will be maneuvering in the background to have another shot.


57 posted on 02/19/2024 4:37:31 PM PST by Reily (!!)
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To: packagingguy

Here’s the ‘plan’. The CIA and FBI will target private citizens who support Trump - while feeding insider information to their butt boys in the MSM. Keeping the MSM in their pocket allows freedom to damage citizens with no concern about ‘the word’ getting out

Letitia James will deal with business people who donate to Trump. She knows how to bankrupt those who get uppity. New York thug judges will know their role in destroying families of the opposition. Show trials by the goons.

Then George Soros will bring in a few million more illegals and Gavin in California will give them voting ‘rights’.

In a few years these folks will take off the gloves and kill people who disagree with them..


58 posted on 02/19/2024 5:49:45 PM PST by GOPJ ( New York Bank loans can bankrupt YOU if some Soros babe doesn't like you. Just ask Trump.)
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To: GOPJ

“In a few years these folks will take off the gloves and kill people who disagree with them.”

What “few years”? They’re killing off J6 prisoners in different ways already - refusing medication, feeding them out, encouraging suicide.


59 posted on 02/19/2024 6:42:27 PM PST by MayflowerMadam (Fraud vitiates everything." - SCOTUS)
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To: Bshaw

No, that was the US Senate election, not the NJ state senate. It effected the whole country.

Jim Jeffords of Vermont gave us Tom Dashole as Senate Leader, and we would have got it back in 2004 if it wasn’t for the illegal Toricelli~Lautenberg switch. It had profound ramifications. We could even have avoided Obama.


60 posted on 02/19/2024 8:54:00 PM PST by Alas Babylon! (Repeal the Patriot Act; Abolish the DHS; reform FBI top to bottom!)
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