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Mexican Coup a Distinct Possibility
Self/LA Times | 20 Aug 2008 | Intheknow Guy

Posted on 08/20/2008 11:37:13 AM PDT by IntheknowGuy

Old Hugh Hewitt is apparently getting good intel (14 August FR Post "Military Coup in Mexico"). Powerful and influential senior Mexican General, General Segio Aponte Polito, was recently removed from his position as the 2nd Military District Commander (LA Times, 9 Aug). Unlike the US, Generals in Mexico don't get “resigned”..they play major roles in many power broker positions (and yes, until late, behind the scenes). The Mexican Military is fed up with not being able to control the spiraling arms race and increasing sophistication of the cartels. Expect to see Aponte in the future..and before the US election...Wait and see.


TOPICS: Military/Veterans; Politics
KEYWORDS: aliens; apontepolito; baja; border; cartel; cartels; failedstate; hughhewitt; immigration; mexico; mexicocoup; segioapontepolito
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1 posted on 08/20/2008 11:37:17 AM PDT by IntheknowGuy
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To: IntheknowGuy

The Mexican military is firmly under civilian control and has been for the past century. This isn’t Argentina. Ain’t gonna happen.


2 posted on 08/20/2008 11:40:07 AM PDT by jalisco555 ("My 80% friend is not my 20% enemy" - Ronald Reagan)
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To: IntheknowGuy

General Aponte Polito.

3 posted on 08/20/2008 11:48:45 AM PDT by SolidWood (God Bless Georgia and grant them victory over Russia!)
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To: IntheknowGuy

hugh hewitt lost me in 2006 when he pronounced that the GOP wasn’t going to lose in the midterms and went on vehemently defending it.

and then this past year with his complete love affair with mitt romney seemed ridiculous and an obvious attempt to sell his lame book.

a coup in mexico is highly unlikely.


4 posted on 08/20/2008 11:48:46 AM PDT by philsfan24
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To: IntheknowGuy
"Generals in Mexico don't get “resigned”..they play major roles in many power broker positions"

Well, an ex Mexican cabinet official is working for McCain's team (Juan Hernandez).

5 posted on 08/20/2008 11:52:29 AM PDT by the anti-liberal
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To: jalisco555

Last Century, you would have been correct...alas, it is a new ball game. The terror and carnage inflicted by the spiralling violence, coupled with high profile kidnappings, and murders, have brought the senior Mexican military leadership to a boil. It isnt Argentina, but it isnt Mexico under the PRI either..stand by..I hope I’m wrong..but it is coming to a boil.


6 posted on 08/20/2008 11:55:30 AM PDT by IntheknowGuy (Coup a Possibility)
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To: philsfan24

I hear you..but don’t shoot the messenger on this one..It isnt your Father’s Mexico..keep digging..don’t let this be the only word on this..more to come.


7 posted on 08/20/2008 11:55:30 AM PDT by IntheknowGuy (Coup a Possibility)
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To: IntheknowGuy

The Mexican Army needs to review the story Killing Pablo in learning how to take down the cartel leaders.


8 posted on 08/20/2008 11:56:56 AM PDT by Deaf Smith
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To: IntheknowGuy

I smell ozone.


9 posted on 08/20/2008 11:58:41 AM PDT by Pistolshot (NO B.O.)
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To: IntheknowGuy

If there were a coup, I’d look for the hand of Chavez in the background. It wouldn’t be his first, he sponsored the coup in Ecuador against Mahuad. The current and previous presidents there are Chavists. He sponsored a military rebellion in Peru which failed.

And he backed the losing candidate in the last Mexican presidential race. His man lost by inches. So you never know.

As for the idea that they might overthrow him because he’s too soft on the mafias, I would like to see the evidence. The army has in the past been infiltrated or corrupted by the mafias. Since Calderon came into office he has been pushing the army to go after the mafia.

So would they overthrow him because he’s too soft, or because he’s too aggressive?


10 posted on 08/20/2008 12:00:02 PM PDT by marron
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To: IntheknowGuy

Outspoken Mexican general being transferred (More Mexican Drug Corruption)
Friday, August 08, 2008 2:48:02 PM · 1 of 3
OKIEDOC


11 posted on 08/20/2008 12:09:25 PM PDT by OKIEDOC (OBAMA aka Post Turtle the Forest Gump of American Politics ABORTION -Liberal Child Abuse.)
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To: IntheknowGuy

Hard to believe the Mexican people would tolerate this. The army isn’t particularly strong, certainly not strong enough to impose order on a rebellious country. Mexico is just starting to emerge from 70 years of one party dictatorship, they don’t want to trade one dictatorship for another. I suspect that Mexico will go the way of Colombia, gradually regaining the initiative against the narcos, rather than the way of Argentina.


12 posted on 08/20/2008 12:10:12 PM PDT by jalisco555 ("My 80% friend is not my 20% enemy" - Ronald Reagan)
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To: All

Does anyone know anything about this guy? Is he pro-U.S./ Anti-cartel? I haver never heard of him.


13 posted on 08/20/2008 12:17:25 PM PDT by jmpmstr4u2 (CEO; 72 Virgin dating service, (We'll set you up))
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To: jalisco555

Concur...there may be a catalyst in the form of a “soft” coup..and getting indication that de facto “martial law” would be a potential course of action. I can say with great confidence that the senior military leadership is absolutely fed up..when your troops are battling against more sophisticated, better equipped, and better financed entities that have NO interest in the social and political well being of the people, you find ways to adjust. I am not an apologist for rampant Mexican corruption, but the situation is so horrific, patriots will emerge..and Mexico does have its patriots. The situation is prime for a cataclysmic shift in the geo-political arrangement presently existing in Mexico. as far as “toloration” is concerned, I am confident the greater Mexican people are surely not going to continue to tolerate a “narctocracy” that offers no improvement to there plight. The generals are simply not going to allow the current conditions. Food for thought- perhaps Calderon could be complicate.


14 posted on 08/20/2008 12:35:11 PM PDT by IntheknowGuy (Coup a Possibility)
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To: IntheknowGuy

“” †” €œâ???


15 posted on 08/20/2008 12:39:49 PM PDT by humblegunner (I'm voting for McCain because he's white.)
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To: marron

If there is a coup, it will be the narco traficantes taking over. Right now they are seriously challenging the government for control of several large areas of Mexico. There have been 800 people killed in the state of Chihuahua so far this year. Sinaloa is iffy. As easy as it is to criticize Calderon and the Mexican government, a narco state would be a thousand times worse, and the rest of the Mexican population would have an even better reason to immigrate here — legally or otherwise. Of course, Chavez encourages the drug trafficking because he hates the Mexicans (he nationalized the Mexican cement giant Cemex this week) and because he believes drugs weaken the Unites States. He might get more than he bargained for, however, if the narcos turn on him, as well.


16 posted on 08/20/2008 12:42:05 PM PDT by 3AngelaD (They screwed up their own countries so bad they had to leave, and now they're here screwing up ours)
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To: IntheknowGuy
EL

17 posted on 08/20/2008 12:43:36 PM PDT by evets (beer)
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To: IntheknowGuy

Again, very reminiscent of Colombia. Sooner or later the govt. will reassert it’s sovereignty. But I just don’t see the military taking over. The people wouldn’t stand for it.


18 posted on 08/20/2008 12:44:48 PM PDT by jalisco555 ("My 80% friend is not my 20% enemy" - Ronald Reagan)
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To: 3AngelaD
Chavez encourages the drug trafficking because he hates the Mexicans (he nationalized the Mexican cement giant Cemex this week) and because he believes drugs weaken the Unites States.

Didn't know this about Cemex. The Mexicans I know despise Chavez. He reminds them of the strutting, big-bellied macho goons who ruled via the PRI for so long.

19 posted on 08/20/2008 12:46:50 PM PDT by jalisco555 ("My 80% friend is not my 20% enemy" - Ronald Reagan)
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To: IntheknowGuy

What does the LA Times have to do with this article?


20 posted on 08/20/2008 12:50:28 PM PDT by BunnySlippers (I have already previewed or do not wish to preview this composition.)
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