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You’re not looking at internals. The Rasmussen poll and the PPP poll are much closer than that when you do. Rasmussen has him down by two with people who are definitely going to vote.

The Globe poll says it’s a poll of ‘Randomly selected likely voters’, but it’s not only suspicious, but it’s old, having been conducted Jan 2 through Jan 6.

The data is screaming that Scott Brown is going to win this thing. Myself, I’m not making any predictions, but to those of you who think the Dems are going to cheat their way out of this, I have one question: Do you think they just decided NOT to try and cheat their way to victory in NJ???

People also do themselves a disservice by discounting what PPP has to say simply because they are a Dem polling outfit. I’ve found their work to be quite accurate most of the time. They borked NY23 during the weekend that Scozzafava dropped out, but check their numbers on McDonnell and Christie before you label them worthless. One of the candidates dropping out in the middle of the poll can skew the hell out of the numbers, so I’m inclined to give them a pass there.

to those of you who think the Dems are going to cheat their way out of this, I have one question: Do you think they just decided NOT to try and cheat their way to victory in NJ???

Good and fair question.

The RATs risk assessment of upsetting the angry voters, getting investigated (think ACORN publicity) and being discovered isn't worth the risk for an election of a governor.

The 60 Th vote in the Senate is worth cheating and an investigation. If nothing else, an investigation will delay seating Brown for the crucial HC and 0b0z0's agenda votes.

I put myself in their shoes (stinky! LOL) and I would take the risk on something that valuable, definitely not on Corzine!

Rovian, I think we have chatted here before and I may have even received a compliment from you. If my memory is correct you have run campaigns?

This was the data I was thinking of below:

Both Rasmussen and PPP have Scott winning independents by huge numbers and a sky-high favorable rating. PPP has it higher than McDonnell’s was in VA the day before he won by 17 points. Rasmussen’s approval index for Scott is +20 while Coakley’s are -2. The data is screaming that Scott Brown is going to win this thing. Myself, I’m not making any predictions, but to those of you who think the Dems are going to cheat their way out of this, I have one question: Do you think they just decided NOT to try and cheat their way to victory in NJ???

Note with numbers this good and if he truly has momentum, they can only get better, as long as he doesn't step in it. As much as the Dem's are pulling out all the stops, in their hearts they must know this is Jersey part deux. This screams of desperation IMHO.

Do you know if the debate this week will be similcast on web (and where)?

You ask, "Do you think they just decided NOT to try and cheat their way to victory in NJ???

The issue is the "Margin of Fraud." As the actual vote is being tallied, those corrupt try to determine how many "new" votes can need to manufacture. This is why Franken had at least four stacks of "only Franken" votes.

When this goes to be certified, the fraudulent votes are allowed and the recount goes forward. Franken now wins because they manufactured a few thousand votes to go from a narrow loss to a narrow win.

In New Jersey there was a 100,000 vote margin; far too many to have a group of criminals sit down and manufacture as the votes are counted.

To me, the people who do this vote manufacturing where only 1 or 2 people receive a vote on an entire ticket of races, and the corrupt judges who allow them to be counted, deserve to be taken out and shot as the traitors to the country they are.

The Boston Globe poll released today gives Martha Coakley a 50% to 35% lead, surprising.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2010/01/10/senate_poll_coakley_up_15_points/

I’m frankly skeptical of that poll, given that it’s way out of synch with other polls.

The Boston Herald is also releasing a poll very soon, perhaps tomorrow. It’s said to show Coakley leading by 7 points.