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Is there anyway that Sarah Palin isn't the Republican nominee in 2012? (From a Leftist Blogger)
Open Left ^ | Wednesday April 7, 2010 | Chris Bowers

Posted on 04/07/2010 5:38:19 PM PDT by Bigtigermike

If Sarah Palin runs for President, then she will win the Republican nomination. The rally she is holding today with Michelle Bachmann is amazing, and Obama-like, in it's size:

More than 10,000 Republican faithful are expected to crowd into the Minneapolis Convention Center on Wednesday when Sarah Palin joins Rep. Michele Bachmann at a fundraiser and rally for Bachmann's re-election bid and the Minnesota state Republican Party.

Anyone who can draw 10,000 people to a rally in Minnesota--in early 2010, no less-- is formidable. In the specific case of Sarah Palin, it makes her virtually unstoppable.

National polling for the Republican nomination has consistently shown Palin in a roughly three-way tie with Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee. However:

1. Huckabee is unlikely to run, and his evangelical / born again base (virtually all Huckabee voters in 2008 were evangelicals) is a lot closer to Sarah Palin than they are to Mitt Romney. So, Palin will likely start ahead in national polls among declared candidates.

2. Romney's strength in 2008 was in caucuses, which are dominated by dedicated activists. Of the 11 states that Romney won in 2008, three were "home" states (MA, where he was Governor; MI where his father was Governor; and UT for religion), and the other eight were all caucuses. However, Romney isn't going to win many caucuses if he is facing a candidate who can draw 10,000 people to a rally in early 2010, not to mention what is likely a tarnished reputation among Republican activists after the health care fight.

3. Palin's grassroots strength will provide her with all the funding she needs, and also goes a long way to pre-empting any possible insurgent candidacy against her. This will especially be the case if Ron Paul runs again, since Paul can't win the nomination but would soak up pretty much all of the remaining grassroots energy on the Republican side.

4. Say what you will about Palin's ability as a campaigner, but if gaffes were going to make her unpopular among Republicans, it would have happened already.

If Sarah Palin runs for President in 2012, I have a difficult time imagining someone else winning the Republican nomination. While this is pretty good news for Democrats, as Palin polls worse against Obama than almost any other Republican (see also PPP polling), it is also pretty scary. A continually weak economy--which is very possible--could actually make her President less than three years from now.


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: bachmann; bho44; democrats; drillbabydrill; elections; gop; michelebachmann; obamapalin; palin; palin2012; palinrocks; runsarahrun; sarahpalin; socialism
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1 posted on 04/07/2010 5:38:19 PM PDT by Bigtigermike
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To: Bigtigermike

Oooooooo yea, they’re starting to panic.


2 posted on 04/07/2010 5:40:59 PM PDT by farlander (Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: Bigtigermike

it is also pretty scary. A continually weak economy—which is very possible—could actually make her President less than three years from now.
- - - - - - - - -
Dems, be very afraid!


3 posted on 04/07/2010 5:42:29 PM PDT by excopconservative
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To: farlander

FR Moonbats respond in 3.....2.....1..Go!


4 posted on 04/07/2010 5:42:52 PM PDT by Bigtigermike (Loose lips sink ships, stay away RINO's)
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To: Bigtigermike
If Sarah Palin runs for President in 2012, I have a difficult time imagining someone else winning the Republican nomination.

Last time, the fix was in for McCain. Same story for Dole. Seems like the oldest dog gets the bone.
5 posted on 04/07/2010 5:44:11 PM PDT by microgood
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To: farlander

1980 Redux happening before our very eyes! Except that Carter was merely incompetent, not out to destroy America.


6 posted on 04/07/2010 5:44:31 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: Bigtigermike
Compared to Obama, Sarah would be a dream-come-true!

Hell, Jimmy Carter would be a breath of fresh air compared to our Satan's Spawn-in-Chief!

Even a Biden Presidency would be an "effin' big deal!"...or Kermit the Frog!

Anybody...somebody...please, help!!!

7 posted on 04/07/2010 5:44:50 PM PDT by SonOfDarkSkies (I never saw a wild thing sorry for itself... - D.H. Lawrence)
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To: farlander

The only way she’s not viable is if there’s a reasonable doubt that she won’t beat the Regime. Carthago delenda est!


8 posted on 04/07/2010 5:47:30 PM PDT by qwertyz
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To: Bigtigermike
If Sarah Palin runs for President,...

I know she's been a governor and an effective one at that, however, to be president?

Has she ever organized a community or opened the Red sea?

9 posted on 04/07/2010 5:48:14 PM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: microgood

Last time McCain and Dole and even Bush Jr. were favorites and darlings of the Republican establishment, the insiders.....Sarah is not beloved by the Party Hacks, it would be a especially sweet if she won the nomination blowing away, although I doubt it will be a blowout, the insiders love Mitt.


10 posted on 04/07/2010 5:49:01 PM PDT by Bigtigermike (Loose lips sink ships, stay away RINO's)
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To: Jay Thomas; never2late; Star Traveler; GOP_Raider; victim soul; VampireStateNY; NavyCanDo; ...

(((((Palin Ping))))))


11 posted on 04/07/2010 5:49:20 PM PDT by Clyde5445 (Gov. Sarah Palin: :"You have to sacrifice to win. That's my philosophy in 6 words.")
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To: EGPWS

Oh......Yes, you are right, I doubt she ever parted the RED SEA


12 posted on 04/07/2010 5:50:26 PM PDT by Bigtigermike (Loose lips sink ships, stay away RINO's)
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To: Bigtigermike
I don't want her to run but that is my opinion....she'll be crucified....but I'll send her money and support her....

but I don't think she has a chance and frankly,not sure she is the answer...

13 posted on 04/07/2010 5:52:05 PM PDT by cherry
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To: Bigtigermike

The article pretty much sums it up.


14 posted on 04/07/2010 5:52:52 PM PDT by Clyde5445 (Gov. Sarah Palin: :"You have to sacrifice to win. That's my philosophy in 6 words.")
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To: cherry

Sarah has already been crucified and has been resurrected since her resignation 9 months ago. She is already playing on house money.


15 posted on 04/07/2010 5:53:39 PM PDT by techno
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To: cherry

She already has been crucified, what more can the media and left do? If someone hates Obama and doesn’t have a job or is being taxed with a VAT if they do have a job in 2012, they will be tired of hearing the media spew hate on Sarah and will give her a chance by listening to her, Her enemy’s in Alaska always said that she was perfect at retail and kitchen politics and that she always had an ear tune in to what the average person is thinking.


16 posted on 04/07/2010 5:56:47 PM PDT by Bigtigermike (Loose lips sink ships, stay away RINO's)
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To: Bigtigermike
Anyone who can draw 10,000 people to a rally in Minnesota--in early 2010, no less-- is formidable.

Not only that, but as Doug Glow of the Minnesota Post pointed out in his article today:

"How do you get your mind around something like this rally that happened right in the middle of the state's most liberal congressional district?"
The libs are sweating.
17 posted on 04/07/2010 5:56:54 PM PDT by Al B.
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To: cherry

The “Palin can’t win” mantral is getting old..... that’s what they said about BHO and Reagan.


18 posted on 04/07/2010 5:57:03 PM PDT by ak267
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To: Bigtigermike

I agree. I’ve been convinced for some time that Bush sold the 2008 nomination to McCain so he’d stop being a pain in the ass to Bush in 2004.

Watch where the big establishment money goes before you put a tiara on Sarah. It wouldn’t surprise me at all if it went to somebody like Pawlenty. Surely, even the party hacks know RomneyCare will kill Mitt’s viability.


19 posted on 04/07/2010 5:57:42 PM PDT by OrangeHoof (Washington, we Texans want a divorce!)
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To: qwertyz

Hell by 2012 I could probably beat the one, and I’m not even eligible (naturalized citizen).


20 posted on 04/07/2010 5:59:00 PM PDT by farlander (Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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