Posted on 07/14/2010 10:34:55 PM PDT by truthfreedom
Apart from the Senate and governor races, 50 percent of likely voters support Proposition 19 which would legalize marijuana and have its sales be regulated and taxed, while 40 percent are opposed, with 11 percent undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at politicsdaily.com ...
I suspect he is, he has done that in the past, in several states, including twice in Arizona.
"Ya mon," it does, with only 11% undecided.
Unreal.
It’s interesting. This poll has Whitman winning, Fiorina winning and yes on 19. This poll also has Dems going yes on 19 more than Reps. It’s likely that if Brown and Boxer gain ground, that yes would gain ground as well.
If this poll is accurate, it would appear that the only way that Prop 19 would be voted down would be if Whitman and Fiorina win with huge margins.
This group of 614 likely California voters likes 2 Republicans, for Senate and Governor, and wants to legalize marijuana.
Interesting! Thanks for reading the article (or doing some research). 614 is a small sampling, but at least “likely voters” were polled.
And a potential showdown with the Federal government, since marijuana is still against federal law.
http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=d525bd62-80d2-4884-86a1-8c48ad920150
This is a link to the poll
That would definitely be something.
The Feds don’t have the resources to enforce the federal law in any meaningful way in Cali. I’m sorry Cali is choosing to test the federales with something frivolous like weed, but it’ll be interesting to see what happens, if this passes.
The SurveyUSA poll puts her in a somewhat better position than a Field Poll conducted June 22-July 5 that had Brown ahead 44 percent to 43 percent with 13 percent undecided. The margin of error in that survey was 3.2 points.
As I posted when that poll came out, Feild is always off by 5-10% in favor of liberal candidates and politicians. It's the same story every just about every time for the last 30 years.
I found this interesting...
What is your opinion of Barak Obama?
Favorable 40%
Unfavorable 38%
That’s huge. First this is CA, the most liberal state this side of MA. Second, this isn’t a job performance question, it’s and overall opinion on him personally. Obama has always scored higher personal approval ratings than job perfromance, because a lot of people thought he was a good guy even if they disagreed with his policies. I would say the bloom is off that rose.
This is a pretty interesting poll for a few reasons.
Marijuana is more popular in California than Democrats
Yes on 19 - 50%
Boxer - 45%
Brown - 39%
Republicans prefer their candidates to no on 19
Fiorina - 83
Whitman - 77
No on 19 - 53
Democrats prefer their candidates to yes on 19
Boxer - 76
Brown - 64
Yes on 19 - 56
Independents prefer marijuana to any candidate
Yes on 19 - 57
Fiorina - 49
Whitman - 47
Boxer - 40
Brown - 37
Independents support Yes on 19 more than Democrats
Indeps - 57
Dems - 56
Yes on 19 is leading 50-40
Among 18-34, yes on 19 is leading 70-22
18-34 made up 24% of the registered voters
18-34 made up 19% of the likely voters
Among 65+, no on 19 is leading 50-37
65+ made up 19% of the registered voters
65+ made up 22% of the likely voters
So, there are more registered voters in the 18-34 group
than the 65+ group by 24-19
But surveyusa decided that the 18-34 group would not be voting as regularly as the 65+ group - 22 (65+) to 19 (18-34)
This skews the numbers away from Yes on 19 - if the 18-34s and the 65+ groups both fully voted, the numbers would be around 52-38.
The fact that they skewed the numbers in this way - I’m not saying they’re wrong about turnout - makes the Obama numbers more surprising. They asked the Obama question to registered voters. If they asked the Obama question to likely voters, the numbers would be worse for Obama. The 18-34 group is the strongest for yes on 19 (70%) and the same group is the strongest for Obama (47% favorable). They got 79 18-34 year old registered voters to register their opinion on Obama, but did not include their answer to the Prop 19 question. They included the answers of 119 18-34 year olds to the Prop 19 question, and the answers of 198 18-34 year olds to the Obama question. Neither Republican performs well with 18-34s, but Yes on 19 does much better than any Democrat with that age group. Fiorina does better than Whitman with 65+ Whitman does better than Fiorina with 18-34. High turnout of 18-34 would likely hurt Fiorina more than Whitman. The likely voters skewing of the numbers with the 18-34s and the 65+ probably put Fiorina in the lead over Boxer, and didn’t effect Whitman as much.
The resulting violent war between the drug cartels and “legitimate” private business should be quite entertaining. I’m sure we’ll be hearing from more and more hippies who barely escape from a “friendly competitor” who doesn’t believe the territory is big enough for the both of them.
That’s a novel take on all of this. It’s possible that drug gangs will attack whatever kind of store replaces dispensaries, or dispensaries.
The drug gangs have always acted illegally. Nothing in Prop 19 is going to make what they’ve always done - street corner drug sales, mexican brick, a distribution network - legal.
Hippies who grow their own and smoke their own I don’t think will be attacked by drug gangs. They aren’t selling. Hippies who will be legally able to grow pot might be tempted to sell their surplus on street corners in direct competition with drug gangs who may continue to do exactly what they’ve always done. I think you’re right, if a hippie tries to sell a bag of pot on a street corner that drug gangs have always sold on, that hippie might be putting himself in danger.
Or, when you’re talking about a hippie selling, are you talking about a hippie who owns a legitimate shop, who complies with all the local laws and regulations required to sell legally? I doubt that gangs would mess with his business. He is taking the legal route, they are taking the illegal route - they really aren’t direct competitors.
The drug gangs really don’t want Prop 19 to pass. Neither do dispensary owners or growers who provide pot to dispensaries. Basically, most of the people who are making money now from marijuana sales, whether legally or illegally, want the laws to stay the same.
Drug gangs will not make a lot of money on marijuana if Prop 19 passes. But, drug gangs have a wide assortment of drugs that they like to sell, and they’ll likely just focus on drugs that aren’t marijuana.
I love being in a country where 190 proof alcohol is legal (although in some states it only goes to a max of a mere 150 proof) and people don’t bat an eye over it, yet there is some huge outrage in letting a drug with no known overdose value become legal.
I think you’re being sarcastic. Personally, I think Prop 19 would be great for California. Somewhat worrisome is the trend toward consolidation of growing. I’d like to see the tourism angle played up, as I think that Prop 19 would be huge for tourism which would bring big money to California.
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