The reality is, Mitt is the only one who has a legit shot at winning the nomination with delegate count, even if Santorum keeps his current delegates. So, the others are playing for second at a brokered convention. And there is just no way a 2nd or 3rd place finisher in delegate totals will win a brokered convention. It’s either Mitt, or someone not running currently. And there is not a good chance that someone who hasnt been vetted yet will get nominated. It’s over. This isnt a sporting event where you can score 3 TDs in the 4Q and win despite the odds. This is about ground game, because at this point, over 90% of the people who could vote in the future have made up their mind. All that’s left to do is get people to the polls, and Romney and Santorum were the only two who could consistently do that this season. And for most people, Santorum has dropped out.
It could certainly be humiliating for him if they called the roll at the convention.
There is much wrong in your analysis, grasshopper. And I don’t think I’ll be taking any decisions based on the opinions of anybody who thinks Boehner has been mostly good.
Almost certainly right as far as I quoted. That's the game plan I'm hoping to see play out.
And there is not a good chance that someone who hasnt been vetted yet will get nominated. It’s over.
I disagree. It hasn't happened recently because as terrible as some of the establishment nominees have been, even McCain and Dole could get a majority of delegates. The insiders haven't chosen anyone as weak as Romney - ever. We have potential candidates who have been vetted either in previous campaigns or through general public exposure but are not in the race: DeMint, McCain, Palin, Fred Thompson, and many others. It's not over (and, yes, I know that some of the names I mentioned are much less likely than others).
It's likely that the establishment will force Romney down our throats, but it's still far from certain, particularly as they look at how unpopular he is. The problem is that relatively few people even like Romney. His best slogan would be, "I'm not quite as bad as Obama", and that's not going to build much enthusiasm.
In the 1920 Republican nominating convention, Warren G. Harding became the Republican Party’s candidate after several rounds of votes. At the opening of the convention, he had only 39 delegates. “Still, at the opening, less than one-half of the delegates were committed...[and] No candidate was able to corral a majority after nine ballots...” (Quote from Wikipedia).
We have 4-months until the convention in Tampa. The day before Santorum suspended his campaign, I wrote on FR that anything can and will happen between now and the convention. I still stand by that statement.
Dear Raider Sam, it ain’t over until the balloon drop in Tampa this August. Until then, I predict a hot-hot-hot summer.
Your reality ignores an alarming fact that we are just not that into mittens.Hes a freaking democrat and we wont vote for him.
I have been thinking of a different sports analogy. The people who think anyone other than Romney is going to end up with the nomination remind me of the basketball coach on the wrong end of a 15 point deficit with 42 seconds left and he starts fouling. The outcome is not in doubt, only the final score. It's also time to face another reality: short of plane crashes, plagues of frogs, alien invasion or alternate timelines, one of two people is going to be president next January, Romney or zero. I will do what I can to keep 0bama from a second turn. Folks can either choose to do the same, or pout that we don't have the most conservative candidate. But, taking your ball and going home ain't going to defeat 0bama.