From the results of recent presidential elections, a general conclusion was reached that the Democratic and Republican parties start with a default electoral vote count of about 190 each. In this scenario, the twelve competitive states are Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Minnesota, Ohio, Iowa, Virginia, Florida, Michigan, Nevada, Colorado, and North Carolina. However, this projection was not specific to any particular election cycle, and assumed similar levels of support for both parties.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swing_state
If you give the Republican every consensus toss-up state on the map right now - Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, Iowa, Arizona and half of Maine, that only gets Mr Trump to 268 electoral votes - two shy of the 270 necessary to put him in the White House.
That’s the “Clinton firewall” staring Mr Trump in the face. He either has to win Pennsylvania or New Hampshire - which haven’t budged from Mrs Clinton’s column despite heavy efforts on both sides - or find a new way around the electoral blockade.
And so the Trump campaign is unrolling a $25m television advertising campaign that includes Wisconsin, New Mexico and Michigan. And the man himself travelled to western Wisconsin for the first time since April, giving a closing-argument stump speech to a packed crowd of around 3,000, with at least 1,000 more left outside.
http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-37852475
You ignored the fact that Wisconsin is polling Trump as is MH and Pennsylvania
Go back to bed or go fishing