According to Rassmussen of the remaining voters 88% are sure whom they will vote for. 53% of that group will vote for Trump and 43% for Clinton. The democrats have front loaded their voters and are out of bullets.
The probability Trump carries Pennsylvania are excellent even with fraud factored in.
Am I crazy to think that this might be over earlier than all the “experts” think?
I don’t know if he will win PA or not but I think he will win NC, SC, NH, AZ, OH, FL, WV, KS, NE, IN, MS, MO, AR, LA, AL, TX, NV, ID, WY, MT, ND, SD, IA, GA, TN, KY, OK, and UT for a total of 269 EVs to Clinton’s 269 EVs. The election looks like it could very well be a tie and will have to be settled by the next congress. unless we have rogue electors. and apparently we have at least one of those.
I really don’t see Trump receiving 28.06% of the black vote.
I doubt he will receive that high of a percentage but I am hoping blacks aren’t motivated to go out and vote for Hillary. Why should they be? Hillary won’t do anything to make black lives better.
I wasn’t too optimistic about Trump’s chances of winning Pennsylvania until the last few weeks when stories about the devastating ObamaCare hikes in that state began coming out. It may be the single biggest issue for a lot of swing voters there.
Trumps going to take PA by far more than 2 points.
Fraud is a non starter, I wish people would stop worrying about fraud in PA...there is FRAUD every election in PA.. and guess what, Hillary with all the fraud the Dems can muster won’t be able to put up numbers anywhere near O 12 or Kerry 8 numbers... and that’s the minimal she needs to do to have any shot at PA... and she’s not going to be able to do it.
You thing Dems didn’t fraud as much as they could in every election up until this one? Come on... its baked in.. and all the fraud they can muster still likely won’t get Hillary to more than 2.5/6M votes... Meanwhile, Trump should EASILY put 3M plus in the box in PA.