[Wyrd bið ful aræd]

"Only nostalgics will cling to the old habit of car ownership. The rest will adapt to vehicles on demand."

That electric cars will take a huge cut of the vehicle market, I can believe. That the above quote will happen...Not so much. As in, not buying it for one lousy second.

[RainMan]

So many things wrong with the premises ...

Not just 1, or 2 but 3 major technological break-thru's necessary before even feasible. First, distance between charges. Most EV's are still in the sub-100 category, which essentially eliminates anyone that drives 100 miles/day. Second, which COULD mitigate the first, is speed of recharge. Very promising technology out there, but still in infancy, and before it could completely overcome the market there will be the standardization wars with different companies holding different patents wanting theirs to become the "industry standard". Third, is the self-driving component. Again, current tech is promising, but what if where you want to go is not on a map, or if the map is just plain wrong. What would happen to public transportation if everyone could just uber a self driving car instead? That would lead to MORE congestion. What would happen to state governments if there were no longer an incentive to use Pay HOV lanes? Heck, what would happen to states if people no longer had to pay to license their cars. What would happen if there were no more gas taxes. I am sure the author is expecting Moores Law to kick in, but in reality, autonomous EVs are not following Moores Law. To expect even half of the technical issues to be resolved in the next decade is a long shot. Add another 10-20 minimum to solve the issues with standardization, and maybe another 100 to solve the issues with taxation.