Sailer and Buchanan have been right on the issue of white voters who have been the GOP's principal base for decades. When you look at the exit polls, it is pretty clear that whites are the path to a GOP victory. In 2016 whites voted 57% to 37% for the GOP. White women voted 52% to 43% for Trump.
Minorities skew the women's vote by their lockstep voting for the Dems. Black women (7% of the total vote) voted 94% to 4% for Hillary; Latinas (6% of the total vote) voted 69% to 25% for Hillary; other women (Asians, native Americans, etc who comprise 6% of the total vote) voted 61% to 31% for Hillary. The conclusion is that the GOP doesn't have a problem with women in general, just minority women.
By 2019, next year, half of the children 18 and under will be minorities as classified by the USG. Hence each cohort that turns 18 every year will be more minority and more Dem. Is it any wonder that the Dems have won the popular vote in 6 out of the last 7 elections? Non-Hispanic whites were 89% of the population in 1970; 63% today; and by 2043 they will be 50%.
Mass immigration and the 1965 Immigration Act changed the demography of the US forever. We continue to bring in 1.1 million legal permanent immigrants a year, 87% of whom are minorities. And this does not include the 300,000 anchor babies born to illegal aliens annually. Immigrants and minorities vote more than two to one Dem. If we don't reduce legal immigration significantly, the Dems will be the permanent majority party within a decade. By 2050, the demographics of the US will be similar to that of CA currently. Immigrants and their US born children drive 80% of our population growth.
The Dems have created tribal/identity politics. The one group they don't want to see develop such an identity is non-Hispanic whites. They are the least polarized group when it comes to voting. Hillary still got 37% of the white vote, much more than the GOP got from the various minority groups. The Dems have put all their chips on demography changing the electoral composition of the country. They think they can write off white voters as their numbers and influence decrease. Unfortunately for the thin veneer of ossified, white liberals who currently run the Dem party, their days are numbered as minorities prefer one of their own to run things. Crowley and Solarz found that out as their district demography changed. Feinstein was not given the Dem endorsement for the Senate with her Dem Hispanic opponent being favored.
Black Caucus members are now finding out they they too are being challenged by the growing Hispanic populations in their districts. Rangel was essentially forced out in a district that is over 60% Hispanic. Maxine Waters' district is 15.1% White, 23.6% Black, 12.6% Asian, and 46.0% Hispanic. There are a number of other such districts that currently have a Black Congressman. It will change.
And then there is the curious case of white Steven Cohen (D-TN) who represents the 9th district that is 66% black and 26% white. Cohen was turned down to be a member of the Black Caucus. How long will he last as our politics become more tribal?
