The 31% Black support for Trump is a death blow for the evil donkey and it has only just started growing.
To: jmaroneps37
Repubs will pick up seats in the House stunning the so called experts once again.
2 posted on
08/15/2018 4:35:03 AM PDT by
bray
(Pray for President Trump)
To: jmaroneps37
The democrats were kept in office for a long time by Rinos who promised to do the right thing but fell in line with the left once elected. Trump is forcing the Rinos to keep his promises, assuming that continues the Rat party is in real trouble for a long time.
3 posted on
08/15/2018 4:37:38 AM PDT by
RipSawyer
To: jmaroneps37
This is the kind of analysis we did in 2016 and used to correctly predict the Trump victory.
Thumbs up—good data.
4 posted on
08/15/2018 4:51:37 AM PDT by
cgbg
(Hidden behind the social justice warrior mask is corruption and sexual deviance.)
To: jmaroneps37
Black people (men _and_ women) love alpha men. That can erode their habit of voting Democrat.
You don’t get more alpha than Trump.
5 posted on
08/15/2018 4:53:46 AM PDT by
cgbg
(Hidden behind the social justice warrior mask is corruption and sexual deviance.)
To: jmaroneps37
Trump has gained black support, but that doesn't necessarily mean that the GOP has gained black votes.
Meanwhile I'd like to see numbers on how much support, if any, we've lost among suburban women.
6 posted on
08/15/2018 5:03:42 AM PDT by
Wyrd bið ful aræd
( Flag burners can go screw -- I'm mighty PROUD of that ragged old flag)
To: jmaroneps37
We must continue to vote for Republican candidates who support Pres. Trump if we are to Make America Great Again. Vote.
To: jmaroneps37
While I appreciate your optimism, right now I am betting a loss of 9-12 seats. The redistricting BS on PA and CA make it tough. They would have to win all 6 seats and then on top of that have a net gain of 19 seats, making that 25 total.
So, the average is 15 seat gain. Consider this the over/under. If the wave does not come, then its a victory.
To: jmaroneps37
Dems pretty much led all year in 2016 as well. For September 2016, outside of one outlier poll that had Republicans ahead by 1 point, the Dems led by between 1 and 7 points in every other poll.
For October, 2016, the Dems led in every single poll by between 1 and as much as 10 points. It wasnt till November that two polls had the Republicans leading at all, and the average still had the Dems ahead by 0.6% on election day. When the elections were finally held, the Republicans comfortably held the House. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2016_generic_congressional_vote-5279.html
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