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Here’s Why the “Blue Wave” is Nothing More Than Pollster Fiction
IWB ^ | Chris Black

Posted on 11/03/2018 6:28:10 AM PDT by davikkm

Let me begin today’s article with a statement: there will be no blue wave. The dimms will not take over the House. This is not going to happen. It’s all a pollster’s wet-dream, aimed at demoralizing the Republican base. But it’s not working. Here’s my premise:

OCTOBER JOBS: +250K…

ECONOMY ADDING 1,000 MANUFACTURING JOBS PER DAY…

HISPANIC UNEMPLOYMENT ALL TIME LOW…

WAGE GAINS STRONGEST IN DECADE…

POLL: TRUMP APPROVAL 51%…

See, it’s the economy, stupid. Why would anyone vote for Democrats? Do you think Americans want antifa and social justice warriors running their country into the ground? Now, when things are going so well in the real-world? Also, Trump has the highest approval rating since he’s POTUS. Do you mean to tell me people are suddenly turning back against Republicans, because reasons? Because pollsters told you so?

(Excerpt) Read more at investmentwatchblog.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: 911truther; blogtrash; bluewave; spam
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1 posted on 11/03/2018 6:28:10 AM PDT by davikkm
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To: davikkm

(Excerpt) Read more spam at spamspamspam.spam ...


2 posted on 11/03/2018 6:29:51 AM PDT by Larry Lucido
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To: Larry Lucido

Not to mention the black support for Trump is around 40%....and growing. There is no blue wave, never was.

Get out and VOTE!


3 posted on 11/03/2018 6:36:59 AM PDT by ThE_RiPpEr. (The Obamanation is over “Free at last, free at last, thank God almighty we are free at last”)
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To: davikkm
There may be something else going on regarding the polls. Many republicans, particularly conservatives, are likely not participating or cooperating with pollsters. E.g., A phone call from a NYT, ABC, CNN etc. to a conservative: "Hi - I'm taking a poll for the NYT, would you answer a few questions......pause, CLICK!"

Republicans are likely being under-represented in mid-term polls.

As the saying goes, "Statistics Never Lie, But Liars Use Statistics."

The only poll that counts is the one taken on November 6th.

4 posted on 11/03/2018 6:39:25 AM PDT by JesusIsLord
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To: ThE_RiPpEr.
Not to mention the black support for Trump is around 40%....and growing. There is no blue wave, never was.

ZERO chance it is that high. Black women are lock step with the DEMs.

5 posted on 11/03/2018 6:47:26 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: ThE_RiPpEr.

Every vote counts. How many elections have come down to a few votes in a recount? Please vote to MAGA.


6 posted on 11/03/2018 6:48:20 AM PDT by cnsmom
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To: Larry Lucido; humblegunner

You are not even close to humble in style. Sorry, keep trying. Your spam really adds to my FR experience here.

/sarcasm off/


7 posted on 11/03/2018 6:50:19 AM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum.)
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To: davikkm

People are stupid, people are changeable, people don’t make logical connections, people voted for Obama TWICE. It is entirely possible that the dems take the House. We need to prevent it by voting.


8 posted on 11/03/2018 6:55:59 AM PDT by Wyrd bið ful aræd ( Flag burners can go screw -- I'm mighty PROUD of that ragged old flag)
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To: davikkm

I agree with VP...republicans are going to keep the house.....


9 posted on 11/03/2018 6:58:30 AM PDT by 1217Chic
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To: JesusIsLord
I lie to the pollsters all the time.

(Is that a sin?)

:)

10 posted on 11/03/2018 7:00:26 AM PDT by OKSooner
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To: OKSooner

You didn’t lie. You changed your mind after you took the poll.


11 posted on 11/03/2018 7:03:17 AM PDT by MisterMagic
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To: davikkm

Lurk all week don’t get a chance to post until the weekend. I hope all God fearing FReepers are on their knees.


12 posted on 11/03/2018 7:04:52 AM PDT by stevio (MAGA)
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To: CatOwner

40% is likely very optimistic , but it’s a hell-of-a-lot higher than ever....which will spell doom for dems. Add hispanics who aren’t in tune with illegals jumping to the front of a line they spent years navigating.


13 posted on 11/03/2018 7:05:27 AM PDT by chiller (Race should be irrelevant in these United States; just shades of skin color.)
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To: 1217Chic

There are a couple of things here that do actually affect the polling and some that do not.

Generic ballot is bull crap. It’s like saying Hillary won the national popular vote by three million, but doesn’t say that she won California, a blue state by four million. Generic ballot (Dems +6) doesn’t mean anything.

If the election were today, who would you vote for? Same crap, different way of trying to validate Generic ballot. I voted straight Republican ticket because rats are slime and I love my country. On November 9, 2016 I already knew that in this election I was voting straight Republican ticket.

Now to the blue wave. What actually defines a blue wave? 29 seats according to the pundits are in play. Rats win 23 they take congress. From what I have seen, the same pundits are saying that the rats already have 19 of them. Fact is, if the rats get their 23, it is a blue wave. Of course no one is taking into account seats rats could lose. They are only reporting on what Republicans can lose.

Finally, I submit that if the rats only get 22 and Republicans hold the house, It is still a blue wave. Just broke to early from reaching the shore.


14 posted on 11/03/2018 7:15:29 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (EVERYONE IS UNIQUE! JUST LIKE EVERYONE ELSE!)
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To: CatOwner

Diamond and Silk said so.


15 posted on 11/03/2018 7:18:41 AM PDT by MrEdd (Caveat Emptor)
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To: JesusIsLord

It is not at all just with pollsters.
Most people I know never answer any call not from a number on their contact list.


16 posted on 11/03/2018 7:20:12 AM PDT by MrEdd (Caveat Emptor)
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To: davikkm
Dave's Site

"The power of KeK compels you"
17 posted on 11/03/2018 7:20:16 AM PDT by RedMonqey ("Those who turn their arms in for plowshares will be doing the plowing for those who didn't.")
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To: JesusIsLord
..."Republicans are likely being under-represented in mid-term polls"....

This is proven in almost every internal exam, save Rasmussen's. They use typical voting histories to determine the split among Dems, Repubs, and Indies. Republicans are generally underrepresented by 7-10 %

To properly balance that is anethema to pollsters because they'd have to admit voters do not embrace their worldview. They may try to acknowledge the point with over representation of indies, but indies more likely go to Trump 2 to 1, imho.

And remember that so far DjT has rendered all past conventional wisdom to be bunk.

18 posted on 11/03/2018 7:20:39 AM PDT by chiller (Race should be irrelevant in these United States; just shades of skin color.)
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To: MrEdd
Most people I know never answer any call not from a number on their contact list.

You're right. Great point!

19 posted on 11/03/2018 7:21:36 AM PDT by JesusIsLord
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To: davikkm

It appears to me that Demcrats love to express their opinions to either other Demcrats or yell at someone else if they don’t agree with them. It is important over all else that they be heard. On the other hand, most conservatives prefer to let their actions speak louder than their words, and therefore are reluctant to thrust themselves on people that they don’t know. I have hung up on pollsters for years because I know what self serving, full of crap organizations that they are. I suspect that most other conservatives are the same. Therfore all of the polls that are paid for are bogus and are likely to be totally wrong. Yet, let them tout them all they want, because it will cause them more pain when they realize that they have been used. AGAIN...


20 posted on 11/03/2018 7:32:29 AM PDT by richardtavor
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