[Mariner]

“The good news is that it’s not really all that fatal.”

So far it’s tracking at about 3% mortality.

With a reproduction baseline of 1.9 to 3.8.

At that rate several million could be infected by the end of the month. And by the end of next month several hundred million.

At 3% death rate, and an ICU rate of about 20%.

There’s really no good news at all.

[null and void]

So far it’s tracking at about 3% mortality.

So far it’s tracking at reported rate of about 3% mortality.

Who, not WHO, but maybe Hu, is doing the reporting.

[cuban leaf]

...in China.

I live in the US. Different diseases have different mortality rates here than there.