Flu season is over.
Heat and humidity suppresses the virus.
Florida and Georgia get plenty of both.
“if that doesn’t happen, those who have abused their positions by imposing devastating shutdowns will owe the rest of us an abject apology.”
No. Even if a so-called spike happens they do.
Because lock downs are uncorrelated to Covid-19 cases, and are just a grotesquely expensive Kabuki Theater, participation in which is mandatory?
Bet some of it is because folks with barely there symptoms are no longer calling their docs for a test...
Texas is not showing much either. Spike a few days ago was from widespread testing at meat packing plants around Amarillo.
Listen, I’m not taking their side on this in a policy sense, but in terms of a rebound, I agree with them that it would have been a “spike”.
We were trying to flatten down the curve by starting the lockdowns/quarantine, with I agree’d with when I thought it would be more temporary, and there is a quantitatively accumulative lag to the process. The same would be true for any rebound. It’s the nature of a propagative phenomenon. So even if there is going to be a rebound, it wouldn’t happen in the first week or two. During those first few weeks, the increased new spreading (if that happens) would be picking up, and as each set of spreaders also spread, the exponential aspects of the ‘curving’ happens.
It would also be helpful to know what percentage of the population was NOT in lockdown in those states, both legitimately “essential” workers and those out in public shopping, etc.
I’m in a service industry and have had customer contact throughout. Granted we’re taking precautions so is that enough? Knowing the infection rate for these groups should be important.
No-one left alive to do the tests ???
We know how to wash hands, stay in when sick, and social distance.
The rest of the lockdowns were useless. Cancelling packed concerts for a few weeks im sure helped, but not closing stores and barber shops and gyms.
The state isn’t fully open. Let’s give it another two or three weeks...then we can make a call.