This is a convoluted assessment to get to a Trump win I hope the author is right, but I don’t see it.
Not convulted.
Democrats are too scared by COVID-19 to vote in person, thus, they must have big vote by mail numbers.
The trends simply are not there to get them where they need to be.
I think this convoluted assessment might have merit. Another factor will be seniors not voting in person in much larger numbers. This could make a difference as the older folks are a dependable electorate.
Not sure who it helps though.