Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

I went through the polls back to July 4, and made a chart. The polls are weighted based on age. Using Scott Rasmussen's comment that 17% of Trump voters will not say they are for Trump, I ran the numbers, and they came very close to the 2016. Except MN is minuscule for Biden, and NH goes to Trump. The P Column is number of polls since July 4. Where there are no polls I used the 2016 result.
1 posted on 09/23/2020 10:11:24 AM PDT by BigEdLB
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies ]


To: BigEdLB

Is the 17% reliable? I know there is some % but not sure how much. I’ve heard some pollsters suggest 3% which makes 17% seem awfully high. Though, I also think 3% is too low; I know A LOT of Trump supporters who don’t publicly admit they are because IDK, they don’t want to lose their job, have their house torched, have their business destroyed, be defamed online, etc.


2 posted on 09/23/2020 10:20:44 AM PDT by ReelectTrump2020
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: BigEdLB

It also doesn’t factor in the Dem fraud % which, with states increasingly holding that mail in ballots don’t even need to be sent the day of an election, sadly keeps going up and up


3 posted on 09/23/2020 10:21:54 AM PDT by ReelectTrump2020
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: BigEdLB

Going to be a crazy month. Somebody wake me up on November 4th. Hopefully we will know the winner by then.

I thought the number of people who wouldn’t admit they are voting for Trump would be down a lot from the first election. I hope very much I am wrong.

When it was early on after the primaries and Trump had won I took an online survey and they asked me if I was voting for Trump and I said no. He was a fellow New Yorker and worked up the block from me.

I met him once and shake his hand and he was very nice.

I don’t know why I said no.

Of course that was the last time.

Amazing how the brain works.

Peer pressure at 48 :-)

And it was online and anonymous. so there still may be a lot of people out there who are voting for him but will lie.


4 posted on 09/23/2020 10:22:11 AM PDT by dp0622 (I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO DO ABO UT THE COVID GODFATHER, I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO DO. YOU CAN ACT LIKE A MAN!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]


5 posted on 09/23/2020 10:30:30 AM PDT by Arones (When Leftists are in a minority, then they look for other ways to win.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: BigEdLB

Trump will win the popular vote by about 1 million largely because of the increased black support. Also - expect Minnesota to come to the Trump column by election day


7 posted on 09/23/2020 10:34:57 AM PDT by BigEdLB (BigedLB, Russian BOT, At your service)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: BigEdLB

I recall we did this back in 2008, and most here were so sure we would win.


12 posted on 09/23/2020 11:19:11 AM PDT by Paradox (Don't call them mainstream, there is nothing mainstream about the MSM.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: BigEdLB

Warm thanks for posting your poll/election results. I’ve been pulling my hairs out trying to find ANY (current) polling results on the 2020 Presidential Election (other than Rasmussen, which, I believe, is very accurate). How did you come with the (projected) vote totals - based on the 2016 election and trends? Was wondering....


15 posted on 09/23/2020 12:03:53 PM PDT by ConservativeStLouisGuy (11th FReeper Commandment: Thou Shalt Not Unnecessarily Excerpt)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: BigEdLB

Also, if you have a source/link for the poll results (with your kind permission) I’d like to share the poll on several conservative websites. Thanks in advance (if possible).


16 posted on 09/23/2020 12:05:36 PM PDT by ConservativeStLouisGuy (11th FReeper Commandment: Thou Shalt Not Unnecessarily Excerpt)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: BigEdLB

Good job with this. Thank you.


20 posted on 09/23/2020 12:22:30 PM PDT by Luke21
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

To: BigEdLB
Updated 9/24/20

26 posted on 09/24/2020 12:38:47 PM PDT by BigEdLB (BigedLB, Russian BOT, At your service)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson