[BeauBo]

“Russian failure here (Vuhledar) will likely give Ukrainians a strategic advantage because they will be able to start their counteroffensive operation not only in the direction of Melitopol but also Mariupol.”

This complicates Russian defensive preparations.

Mud Season usually ends about six weeks from now.

Let’s hope that the last storm of the season is a deluge of those Ground Launched Small Diameter Bombs, to prepare for the assault.

[FtrPilot]

Let’s hope that the last storm of the season is a deluge of those Ground Launched Small Diameter Bombs, to prepare for the assault.

Let's also hope the last storm includes 2000 pound JDAMS and that the UKR MiGs are carrying Aim-120s and HARMs.

[FtrPilot]

Russian failure here (Vuhledar) will likely give Ukrainians a strategic advantage because they will be able to start their counteroffensive operation not only in the direction of Melitopol but also Mariupol.

There are several posts that imply that the counteroffensive will start near Bakhmut.

These are probably false flags and the real starting point will be Vuhledar.

IMHO, the counteroffensive should march all the way to Mariupol.

Then JDAM the Kerch bridge, including the railway bridge.