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The Null Hypothesis
GemState.Substack ^ | March 19, 2023 | Brian Almon

Posted on 03/23/2023 3:53:16 PM PDT by Twotone

I’ve noticed something strange since I came to Idaho nearly five years ago. Many Republicans whose families migrated to this region before Idaho was even a state are the most outspoken voices against what they call extremism. I have heard accusations that issues such as CRT and Queer Theory in public schools were never issues before the great migration from the West Coast, rather they are mirages created by activists to use for political gain.

This is strange to me because maintaining that belief requires an incredible amount of deliberate ignorance and cognitive dissonance. Imagine your neighbor rushing over to your house in the middle of the night and desperately warning you that the river had overrun its banks and a flood was headed your way. You might be able to dismiss him as a raving madman for a few minutes, but when the floodwaters began rising you would have to deal with the situation as it was.

On every political issue in Idaho, the right is identified as the aggressors, as the extremists. When a group of concerned parents raised the issue of obscene materials being made available to children in the Meridian Library, media cast them as the villains, while the groomers who publish such material and stock it in the library are considered to be the normal people.

Why is this?

In science there is something called the null hypothesis. That is the state of things if nothing changes - the state of being normal. Before you can do an experiment, you must define the null hypothesis, so that you can accurately describe what changes result from your experiment. In society, the null hypothesis is whatever most people believe is the normal state of things.

(Excerpt) Read more at gemstate.substack.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: extremism; gemstate; idaho; normal

1 posted on 03/23/2023 3:53:16 PM PDT by Twotone
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To: Twotone

Idahoans dislike (mild word) the left invasion of Idaho. I speak with Idahoans on a regular basis


2 posted on 03/23/2023 3:59:39 PM PDT by no-to-illegals ( The enemy has US surrounded. May God have mercy on them.)
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To: Twotone

The writer does not have the faintest idea of the meaning of “null hypothesis”, but it sure sounds all sciency.


3 posted on 03/23/2023 4:01:48 PM PDT by HartleyMBaldwin
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To: Twotone

In scientific research, the null hypothesis is the claim that no relationship exists between two sets of data or variables being analyzed. The null hypothesis is that any experimentally observed difference is due to chance alone, and an underlying causative relationship does not exist, hence the term “null”.


4 posted on 03/23/2023 4:05:39 PM PDT by DugwayDuke (Most pick the expert who says the things they agree with.)
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To: Twotone

I imagine some of what the author is talking about is what is common in a lot of rural republican areas. A lot of those local Republican parties are run by a Good Old Boy network, whose main interest is protecting their own interests first, and any political issues are only secondary to them at best.


5 posted on 03/23/2023 4:10:30 PM PDT by Boogieman
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To: DugwayDuke

Well, the author is a political guy, not a scientist. But the column is pretty valid as far as I can tell. We moved to Idaho in 2016. I tried going to the local GOP meetings, but found them to be rather oblivious to the issues I was worried about & why I moved from OR. They seemed to feel assured that the state was conservative & in no danger. Nope, the lefties have invaded & are wreaking havoc in multiple places in this state. Some folks just won’t wake up.


6 posted on 03/23/2023 4:13:25 PM PDT by Twotone
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To: no-to-illegals

Your problem, and theirs is ignorance of the true nature, in general, of those Republicans moving into ID.

I am one of those recent transplants from outside of the state, so is my neighbor, and many more of our acquaintances as well, and we, as a whole, are as conservative or more so than those more established Idahoens.


7 posted on 03/23/2023 4:28:41 PM PDT by SoConPubbie (Mitt and Obama: They're the same poison, just a different potency)
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To: HartleyMBaldwin

Probably a math education major; in all fairness that is probably how dumbed down it is in today’s textbooks.


8 posted on 03/23/2023 4:31:18 PM PDT by LambSlave
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To: Twotone; null and void

“the null hypothesis.”

I think they’re talking about you.


9 posted on 03/23/2023 4:35:30 PM PDT by Larry Lucido (Donate! Don't just post clickbait!)
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To: Twotone

I look forward to times when these stupid fads have been incinerated on the ash heap of history, and CRT simply means “cathode ray tube” again.


10 posted on 03/23/2023 4:37:04 PM PDT by rfp1234 (E Porcibus Unum )
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To: Twotone

The old-timers don’t get it.


11 posted on 03/23/2023 4:42:58 PM PDT by Lisbon1940 (I don’t see why they would)
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To: Twotone

Among the most difficult things for people to comprehend is evil. It’s a schism to see a smiling face of a person and that same person stabbing somebody 150 times.

Liberals claim to want good things, and they sound like good things, but the price of their good things was 250 million murdered people and over a billion people enslaved.


12 posted on 03/23/2023 4:47:16 PM PDT by Jonty30 (It is not how many that go into Mexico that counts. It is how many that return from Mexico.)
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To: Twotone
American men have really been diminished....it took a few wars to cull out the best and most assertive but what we're left with are men that will not get involved unless everybody else is....they do not want to stand out....

we all know that most men would not stand for boys in girls rooms but here we are....

13 posted on 03/23/2023 4:56:49 PM PDT by cherry
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To: Larry Lucido
I think they’re talking about you.

"...something called the null hypothesis. That is the state of things if nothing changes - the state of being normal."

The state of being normal? Me? Highly unlikely.

14 posted on 03/23/2023 5:15:11 PM PDT by null and void (Soros funded judges and district attorneys have Detention Deficit Disorder)
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To: DugwayDuke

researchers want to reject the null hypothesis.


15 posted on 03/23/2023 5:22:51 PM PDT by DOC44 ( )
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To: HartleyMBaldwin

Was going to say the same thing ...


16 posted on 03/23/2023 5:57:07 PM PDT by RainMan (Democrats ... making war against America since April 12, 1861)
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To: Twotone
Activists have successfully pushed their agenda to the point where extreme leftism is now the null hypothesis.
Years ago, I asked my flamboyantly gay cousin what will happen when he becomes normal. "I'll never be normal!," he exclaimed with fists on extended hips. Well, now we're seeing what that's like, and it ain't pretty.
17 posted on 03/23/2023 6:04:42 PM PDT by nicollo ("I said no!")
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To: SoConPubbie

As a whole most californians moving to Idaho vote democrat. I do not appreciate your calling me ignorant. If you vote Conservative, Idahoans will welcome you. Notice I typed Conservative ……


18 posted on 03/24/2023 2:29:33 AM PDT by no-to-illegals ( The enemy has US surrounded. May God have mercy on them.)
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To: Twotone

The older we are, the more we tend to trust assume that our government, our schools, our media, our law enforcement agencies, and our churches remain the trustworthy institutions they were in our youth.

I find this to be 100% incorrect. The older I get (I’m almost 53 now), the LESS I trust government, our schools, our media, our law enforcement agencies. The church? Well, it depends on the church, doesn’t it?


19 posted on 03/24/2023 6:38:58 AM PDT by ro_dreaming (Who knew "Idiocracy", "1984", "Enemy of the State", and "Person of Interest" would be non-fiction?)
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