imho as long as the storm shadows work successfully in a target rich environment that continually degrades the russians ability to defend the south—then the Ukes can hold off their offensive.
If the stories are also true that himars and uke artillery are also degrading the russian front line—then the ukes have a complete pre counter offensive strategy. to go along with the misdirections in the east.
I tend to agree if the number reported by Ukrainian MOD are even remotely accurate 30+ arty systems destroyed and loads of tanks, special equipment and anti assets, trucks…as well as supply, munitions and infrastructure hits as well is helpful
Getting anti air assets set up to protect troops and equipment is essential as well
Only issue is longer troop, logistics and equipment concentrations are out there the more likely they are to be hit
I’m thinking attack up north, then below bakmut, launch some cross border incursions, hit south bakmut and then north bakmut and after Russia has been running their heads off and plenty of equipment and troops have been interdicted by swarms of drones . Launch major offensive towards azov maybe two and trap Russians in between.
Bold but I am confident many Russians will run or surrender