This is a lot messier that the red-blue thing. The most liberal states (California, Massachusetts, etc.) have 20-30% Republicans/conservatives. The most conservative states (Wyoming, Alabama, Utah, Texas) have 30%+ who will vote for Biden over Trump. That is a best case scenario.
While some of the conservatives in places like Massachusetts are demoralized, and make little compromises with the local zeitgeist that even they do not realize, some are really, really solid (e.g. Jim Rob, Howie Carr).
Any conservative state with a large city is harboring a leftist fortress (Austin, Atlanta, St. Louis). But even those cities have solid people.
We live in the liberal city of Phoenix. We live here to be near our church, and cannot afford the nearby more conservative suburbs. The illegals (at this point) don’t mostly get involved in the political thing, their effect is indirect, making the quality of life worse in such a way as to make a call for some kind of government intervention inevitable.
The center is not holding.
The rebellion against 5he fedcoats is intensifying.
Nothing about Iowa and New Hampshire indicates that ~30% fallout
In Red States, conservatives are better armed...
In Blue States, conservatives are better armed...