Given cultural and familia ties, along with fifth columnists, would Taiwan really resist?
In before all the Yuan will be replacing the dollar and the end the US empire to be replaced by a population several times ours that can’t produce state of the art anything but renewables.
Taiwan is not a country. It’s part of the “one china” us policy. Neither does the US support it’s independence. It’s right there in the US State Department’s website. All we are doing is stirring up trouble like we do everywhere.
Taiwan has always been willing to buy US military equipment.
Trump sold it to them.
Most others didn’t or limited it.
90 miles across open deep ocean is not crossing the English Channel.
It’d be target practice.
Landing on Taiwan in an amphibious assault is going to be extremely difficult, if not impossible. Taiwan has lots of artillery and limited viable beaches.
Its much more likely that China will blockade it until Taiwan gives in.
When Red China takes over Taiwan, they will arrive at the airport, walk down the stairs to a red carpet, and be met by a delegation.
They will do it like they did Hong Kong. And it’s still a generation out. That generation of Taiwan will have witnessed our implosion into socialism and bankruptcy, know we are weak, and cut more and more trade deals... then it’s inevitable.
But the DC fever swamp keeps imagining a D-Day invasion. It’s like they have no clue about Chinese thinking.
With China’s lack of recent military experience on a large sale, a successful military invasion of Taiwan is implausible. Most likely, China aims at using threats and intimidation short of invasion to undermine Taiwan’s economy, morale, political cohesion, and US support so as to extract a surrender. Yet that too is implausible due to China’s economic and demographic problems.
If China invades they won’t be concerned about deaths or damage...*any* deaths and *any* damage. Wasn’t it Mao Tse Tung himself who wrote “in order to make egg foo young you have to break a few eggs”?
“A three-to-one advantage is pretty much the minimum numeric advantage for an attacking force taking on a prepared defense. Add to that the difficulty of crossing all of those people, all their equipment, all their vehicles, across the strait and then keeping them supplied.”
How do they plan to do this without the world knowing prior? Moving 300,000 troops across the strait undetected, landing them and then resupplying them is a tough nut to crack.
I honestly believe today’s military is incapable of a single armed conflict with an adversary like China. We have the technology to defeat them but we don’t have the leadership mindset or quality of personnel to do so.
It’ll take years to undo the damage Obama, Biden and the leftist institutions have done.
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No never happen. Not the Chinese way. Bluff bluster propagandize their opponents.
They have no experienced military, the PLA moral is low, all foreign ventures have ended in a humiliating failure.
Were they to even attempt it their society would collapse and the CCP would be either drastically altered or eliminated.
Take? Why? Just an air tight blockade for about 6 months will do it.
Maybe the fine folks of twan bring out the red stars and shout, better Red than dead and Yankee go home!!
China is not going to invade. An operation to invade Taiwan would be bigger than the Normandy invasion. That is not happening.
Taiwan IS China. The US recognizes that.
China cannot afford to have the economic sanctions put on them. That country is teetering on economic disaster.
This whole Taiwan crap is election year scare mongering for the simple minded. All we are missing is Obiwan Kenobi waving his hand and saying, “These aren’t the droids we are looking for.”
This is Austria 1938, not Poland 1939.
China could probably take Taiwan eventually, but it would be a long bloody slog. Taiwan has essentially spent the last half century turning themselves into an island fortress purpose build to repel an invasion from China.
As to whether they could hold Taiwan if they did manage to take it. After the massive cost in blood and money it would take to seize it, China couldn't afford NOT to hold it. To lose Taiwan after taking it would be an embarrassment of epic proportions and would probably result in the collapse of the Chinese government.
China doesn't have to invade Taiwan to exert control over it. That could be done with military blockade or by exerting other economic pressures on it.
Taiwan has no chance against China in military conflict. And, we certainly shouldn't seek out a bloody war with China in its own backyard. It would be insanity for us to get involved directly.
Any decent board wargame will have those kind of odds. When you get to 6-1 odds victory is all but guaranteed.