Posted on 07/31/2004 4:16:21 PM PDT by tmp02
000 WTNT31 KNHC 312033 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT SAT JUL 31 2004
...FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2004 SEASON FORMS OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE BROAD AND POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION NEAR THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS... MAINLY IN SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON SUNDAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...30.6 N... 78.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
Hmmmm (bump)
Too close to land to gain much stength. Carolina coast gonna be wet though.
Another year, another hurricane season. Heads up Carolinas!
I was wondering when the waters were going to start getting active. It's been too quiet.
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I am new to the right coast- I am wondering what to expect. I like dramatic weather, but am probably too far north for most of the hurricane activity. (Northern Virginia.)
I am looking forward to a good storm- if I am still in this awful apartment I'll open the sliding glass door to the patio and the door to the hallway at the same time and maybe finally be rid of the funky smell that this place has always had. For a while, anyway...
It's global warming that causes the activity. The lack of activity this year is due to, umm, global warming.
-http://weather.iwon.com/index_static.html--
-http://www.crh.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kdtx.shtml--
-http://weather.unisys.com/index.html--
Recon vortex data indicates surface winds 52mph (45kt) and extrapolated surface pressure 994. Looks like you have a tropical storm off the coast.
LoL. Can't help you. I'm in Tx on the Gulf side. We did have a minor TS last summer. It got windy. You can't air out though because you better have your glass covered by then.
Yeah, Bush's fault of course:')
...Tropical depression remains poorly organized...
a tropical storm watch remains in effect from Edisto Beach South Carolina to Cape Hatteras North Carolina...including the Pamlico Sound. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area during the next 36 hours.
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the poorly defined center of Tropical Depression One was estimated near latitude 30.9 north...longitude 78.6 west or about 145 miles south-southeast of Charleston South Carolina.
The depression has been meandering during the past couple of hours but it should begin to move toward the northwest near 9 mph later tonight. A gradual turn toward the north is expected during the next 24 hours. This motion could bring the center of the tropical cyclone near the coast of the southeastern United States on Sunday.
Preliminary reports from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the depression is poorly organized. Maximum sustained winds remain near 30 mph...with higher gusts...mainly in squalls to the south and east of the center. Some slow strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and the depression could become a tropical storm on Sunday.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb...29.83 inches.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...30.9 N...78.6 W. Movement nearly stationary. Maximum sustained winds... 30 mph. Minimum central pressure...1010 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Avila
Virginia Ping for Hurricane Activity. Yikes. NOT ALREADY! Hehe!
It's global warming that causes the activity. The lack of activity this year is due to, umm, global warming.
I assure you you've got a link to old data or you've decoded it wrong.
Lowest pressure on the current recon is 1010 mb and the highest wind so far is 25 kts.
It's actually fairly normal to have no activity as late as August 8-15th or so; some really active seasons have had no or almost no activity till then.
Is that why it's so dang windy up here in New York?
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