A few factors:
1. voter Id
2. Stacking crises of the admin
3. Unfavorable Map
4. Campaign missteps
Basing their whole strategy on this War On Women farce.
As Wendy Davis demonstrated, the potential appeal out there for An Abortion in Every Pot is extremely limited.
How did the GOP do in states where they implemented VOTER ID?
I was stunned by some 15% margins I saw