The Dead Men Walking are: Kasich, Walker, Santorum, Jindal, Graham and Pataki. Chrisitie is up from near zero following the debate. He along with Huckabee and Paul are hanging on by a thread. 
Posted on 09/20/2015 12:03:40 PM PDT by Laissez-faire capitalist
No flaming others on this thread. Thanks.
With the thread title in mind, which polls do you trust?
Do you trust the "news" polls (as in CNN, ABC News/WaPo, NBC News/WSJ/Survey Monkey or do you trust unscientific online surveys/polls at Drudge Report and Breitbart?
How about Gravis Marketing?
NBC News Poll, Trump, August - 22%.
NBC News poll, Trump, September 6, 2015 - 28%.
Right now in the newest NBC News poll (thread at FR right now), Trump - 29%. No statistical improvement from 28%.
But Trump is down in the new CNN poll (from 32% just recently to 24% now) and down in the Gravis Marketing poll from where he was earlier (30.8% in July, 40.1% in August and now at 22%, tied with Fiorina.
It looks like Gravis Marketing was the cat's meow in past threads at FR with well over 300 replies on just one thread (link below) and many singing the praises of either Trump or Gravis Marketing - but maybe not so much now in the thread yesterday which has Trump at 22% - way down from July and August.
If a/any GOP candidate says they are leading in all of the polls, to which polls are they referring?
Drudge?
Breitbart?
Are those truly scientific polls?
Does that include leading in negatives among the potential GOP candidates?
Does that include not leading among Evangelical voters (Trump's 20% to Carson's 27%)?
Does that include not leading among those whom most people believe won the very recent CNN debate? Most scientific polls show that Fiorina won that debate.
We are not voting for any of The Cheap Labor Express candidates, so you are pretty much wasting your time and FR’s bandwidth with these posts.
I look at it like recipes, not one is particularly ‘right’ and most times it goes on tastes.
I look at all polls and generally get an idea from all of them what is the most likely truth.
I don’t think any one poll is necessarily more right than the other, it’s the combination that gives clues.
This is why I don’t want Trump to get too wrapped up in polls. They do cheat. I have been saying this since day one.
NEW NATIONAL POLL: DONALD TRUMP HAS BIGGEST LEAD EVER WITH CARSON A DISTANT SECOND...
Not so much now:
Way down in the most recent Gravis Marketing poll to now at 22% poll (from a high of 30% up to 40% and now at 22%,
Down in the CNN poll.
No change in the NBC poll from 28% to now 29%.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3329438/posts
Bingo. I've been thinking the same thing.
They will tank the polls and Trump won't be able to complain about it.
Just one poll- no need to get excited!
How come Trump supporters get to proclaim polls/media truthful when they say something about Trump, but declare them untrustworthy when there is the slightest hint of criticism? The media has a vested interest to promote Trump as a conservative because they know he is a liberal.
Don’t you know only polls that are favorable to liberal Donald Trump matter? Those that can be considered negative are meaningless.
Give it up, RINOs. Watching you twist and writhe is fun, but only for a while.
;-) Don’t worry Lassiezzz there will be another poll showing Trump on top and then another one then another and many more showing Trump as the man. ;-)
Do you get HOT when you see Rove?
I only trust the final poll the night before the election.
Maybe not even that.
I don’t think Trump is a conservative, I also don’t think he’s a liberal. I think he’s an American who does not want to give up his country to illegal aliens. Does not want to abandon the bedrock of the Republic, the rule of law.
Right now that puts him head and shoulders above the many multi-national politicians
Giving any poll any value more than a year before a Presidential election is ridiculous.
If you search Gravis Marketing, you’ll find it’s a scam. They have no polling center or even any phones! They plagiarize OTHER POLLSTERS’ numbers and cook them to whatever their client wants to pay for. GOPe wanted lower numbers for Trump Wednesday night, so that’s what they got.
Check it out for yourself.
The Dead Men Walking are: Kasich, Walker, Santorum, Jindal, Graham and Pataki. Chrisitie is up from near zero following the debate. He along with Huckabee and Paul are hanging on by a thread.
I agree—I remember 1948-—the mother of all poll fiascos.
.
But the average person can't help but notice Donald Trump. He is everywhere. They know he's the most popular, and that is what is important.
A lot of people will go to the polls and vote for whoever they think is going to win. Perception is important. Trump is perceived as a winner, so maybe people will vote for him simply because of that
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