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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion (Category 5)
National Hurricane Center ^ | September 30, 2016

Posted on 09/30/2016 8:09:10 PM PDT by rdl6989

An Air Force reconnaissance plane recently measured a peak SFMR wind of 143 kt and then 138 kt during this mission's eye penetrations. Furthermore, the satellite presentation has improved considerably with a distinct eye surrounded by a ring of very deep convection. The raw objective T-numbers from UW-CIMSS have been above 7.0 since 2100 UTC. On this basis, the initial intensity has been increased to 140 kt, making Matthew a Category 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This is the first Category 5 hurricane in the Atlantic basin since Hurricane Felix in 2007.

(Excerpt) Read more at nhc.noaa.gov ...


TOPICS: Weather
KEYWORDS: cat5hurricane; hurricane; hurricanematthew; hurricanematthew2016; matthew; tropical; weather
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To: caww

Showing a 300-317 bearing doesn’t help without a beginning.

Where is that front?


61 posted on 09/30/2016 11:53:38 PM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: caww

Hurricane hunters are finding Hurricane Matthew extremely dangerous.....will hit Jamaica directly. Every parish will be affected.


62 posted on 09/30/2016 11:57:13 PM PDT by caww
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To: eyedigress

I can’t imagine that at all.....heck we had a wind storm here once where I heard the metal awnings screeching and garbage roll down the street like rolls of tumble weed......just that was frightening enough.....but to see the devastation you saw...can’t begin to imagine.


63 posted on 09/30/2016 11:59:32 PM PDT by caww
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To: eyedigress

I don’t know...it was posted on twitter account of weather man....


64 posted on 10/01/2016 12:00:17 AM PDT by caww
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To: caww; All

According to our Airline Meteorology people, what happens depends on when the storm makes the turn to the north.
Spent much of tonight redeploying airplanes and crews.


65 posted on 10/01/2016 12:01:51 AM PDT by tcrlaf (They told me it could never happen in America. And then it did....)
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To: eyedigress

Huge uncertainty exists Day 5 and beyond. The entire US Eastern Seaboard needs to monitor Hurricane Matthew. Plenty of model ‘disagreement’.....


66 posted on 10/01/2016 12:04:59 AM PDT by caww
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To: tcrlaf

All are saying no way yet to determine what it will do...and models differ.......looks like it’s a guessing game at this point....

Sounds like you had your hands plenty full...


67 posted on 10/01/2016 12:06:48 AM PDT by caww
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To: rdl6989

It would be hilarious if Walmart sent it’s own employees in to burn down all the Walmarts in the path of this “hurricane”. LOL.


68 posted on 10/01/2016 12:06:55 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Forget the media's "endorsements" of Clintoon. They are unfit to be Americans. Vote Trump!)
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To: caww

Looks as if the models are converging on OBX getting a little chewed up from beach erosion at a minimum.


69 posted on 10/01/2016 12:08:18 AM PDT by RegulatorCountry
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To: caww

The “Hurricane Hunters” do fly out of Biloxi.

Oh Well


70 posted on 10/01/2016 12:08:19 AM PDT by eyedigress ((Old storm chaser from the west))
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To: tcrlaf
Jamacians busy stocking up for this storm.....if it keeps it's strength or grows it's going to hit very hard...


71 posted on 10/01/2016 12:10:15 AM PDT by caww
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To: caww
Local emergency teams as well as the police and army are on standby, ...while shelters are being set up throughout the island,..... many Jamaicans are now stocking up on water and food.

>


72 posted on 10/01/2016 12:13:28 AM PDT by caww
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To: caww; All

First of the month is always “interesting”. New month, new crew schedules, new call-offs...

Should be an “Interesting” week, especially if this thing spins it’s way north, just offshore, as a couple of models are predicting.


73 posted on 10/01/2016 12:35:11 AM PDT by tcrlaf (They told me it could never happen in America. And then it did....)
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To: caww

Thank goodness the clintoon foundation is poised to rush in to help.


74 posted on 10/01/2016 12:37:37 AM PDT by Daffynition (*Donald Trump represents the WILL of the PEOPLE.*~ Don King 09.24.16)
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To: All

Recent report indicates Matthew has weakened slightly to a cat-4 as of 5 a.m. EDT.

Chance of hitting any point on the east coast of the U.S. is probably about one in three as a large part of the guidance shows the hurricane heading out to sea from the Bahamas. So it’s by no means a sure thing yet.


75 posted on 10/01/2016 2:02:34 AM PDT by Peter ODonnell (Pray for enlightenment and true justice in these times of mass delusion)
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To: rdl6989

hope it doesnt hit jersey. christie will be sucking up to obama again.


76 posted on 10/01/2016 2:49:44 AM PDT by Palio di Siena
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To: caww

Thanks for posting that projected plot of the ‘cane.

The earlier plots were indicating Haiti and parts of the DR were going to be hit. ...Seems to have more to the West.


77 posted on 10/01/2016 3:44:04 AM PDT by octex
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To: MtnClimber
Looks like Jamaica, Cuba and then Bahamas. Only a few models show it moving ashore in the southern US, but more show it hitting the New England states.

Been watching it - praying it leaves the mainland alone and for those in its path but hope it goes anywhere but into the Gulf - Katrina was enough to tide me for the rest of my life.

78 posted on 10/01/2016 5:21:00 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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To: TomGuy

I have a wedding in Maryland on Sunday, Oct. 9th. What are the chances that travel will be affected?


79 posted on 10/01/2016 6:35:19 AM PDT by SilvieWaldorfMD (A Realistically Really Real Housewife)
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To: SilvieWaldorfMD

It depends. Do you want to go to this wedding? If not, cancel now. It’s the perfect excuse.


80 posted on 10/01/2016 6:38:15 AM PDT by SamAdams76 (It is a wise man who rules by the polls but it is a fool who is ruled by them)
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