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Sorry, I saw that quoted a few times on the internet but all the references seem to dead end at https://www.statisticbrain.com/marriage-statistics (which I didn't link because Windows Defender said it tried to load a trojan) without any links to an actual CDC report. A 93% divorce rate matches neither my experience nor the fact that the marriage rate is about twice the divorce rate (6.9 vs 3.2 per 1000 respectively). Also an actual CDC page states that 36% of first marriages among women 15-44 years of age suffer from some type of "disruption" (which is defined as either a separation, divorce or death) in the first ten years.

Do you have a link to the actual CDC report you quote? The numbers just make no sense.

Lets see how to get only 6.6% of marriage survive 10 years.

In the same data it also states the marriage rate is 6.8 per 1000 and divorce rate is 3.4 per 1000.

So it seems 50% marriage will last.

From the pew research site, it states that 40% of marriage is remarriage. So the rate for divorce + remarriage is 6.12 while the marriage rate is 6.8. That means first time marriage that end in failure can go up to 90%.

However it should be less then 90% because we are not accounting for people who married for more then one time get divorce again. If we use the statistic of 40% of divorce are from remarriage and should not be counted again, first time marriage failure maybe as low as 70%.

So it is at minimum 70% and maximum 90%. Given that some people have surviving second marriages, or dies before getting second / third divorce, the numbers move closer to 90%.

For whites, the remarriage rate is 60% so the minimum failure rate rise to 80%. So it is likely 90% of brothers that marry are divorce at least once.

So yeah 90% of first time marriage failure does not seem too exaggerated. And the non white brothers first marriage failure rate does not fall too far behind.

So we know the 50% marriage failure rate is a lie, they just need to hide the remarriage statistic.