Posted on 05/24/2018 7:54:32 AM PDT by BBell
A low pressure system heading for the Gulf of Mexico has an 80 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression this week, the National Hurricane Center said in its Thursday morning forecast (May 24).
The system called Invest 90L is gradually becoming better defined, forecasters said, and is expected to bring heavy rains to the Gulf Coast during Memorial Day weekend. Rip currents also are a threat from Louisiana to Florida.
A tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the southeast Gulf of Mexico, forecasters said. If it strengthens to a tropical storm, it will be called Alberto. The storm categories, in increasing order of strength, are tropical depression, tropical storm and hurricane.
As of 7 a.m. Thursday, the center of the low pressure system was over the southeast Yucatan Peninsula. It is producing showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds, in the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
(Excerpt) Read more at nola.com ...
All you gulf freepers be ready! I probably should check my generator.
Are model runs looking at TX at all? We usually get A-D or E.
The models show Alabama and Florida the most likely to be affected.
Not likely but Katrina was supposed to go up the east coast when it was at this stage.
Bkmrk.
5 day with cone, Mississippi, Florida panhandle:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
‘The models show Alabama and Florida the most likely to be affected.’
yes, but only the females and minorities...
Ping!.......................
I’m depressed now.
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
740 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. A broad, stationary surface low pressure system centered over the
southeastern Yucatan Peninsula is gradually becoming better defined.
Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds,
are confined primarily to the adjacent waters of the northwestern
Caribbean Sea, gradual development of this system is expected during
the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan
Peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical
or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of
Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In
addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along
the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over Memorial Day
weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products
issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical
Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 200 PM EDT this
afternoon.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
Forecaster Stewart
Not likely but Katrina was supposed to go up the east coast when it was at this stage.
...
Storms this time of year are usually no big deal.
Reason number 5 why I should probably mow today.
Too bad it is not in the Pacific and headed to cool off Kilauea.
As usual Joe Bastardi called this one about 10 days ago.
A hurricane hits a volcano? That would be cool if you don’t live there.
No and one good thing is that it will give the local emergency responders a real exercise and get folks to prepare.
and the chilrun
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