Posted on 06/10/2018 10:23:39 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
exactly
As noted elsewhere, the data are compelling:
The statistical reality is that in modern times, if a recession occurs during or pretty close to a Presidential election year, the standing President OR the Party holding the Presidency always loses that election:
August 1929-March 1933: FDR comes to power
January 1980-July 1980: Reagan is elected
July 1990-March 1991: Clinton is elected (yea, yea, I know....the recession was technically over by election day but if memory serves me correctly, the NBER didn't call the end recession until AFTER the election; indeed, they announced that we were IN a recession around March 1991)
December 2007-June 2009: Obama is elected
In contrast, if the economy is doing well**, standing Presidents always win re-election.
Truman won in 1948 (note that recession started during the month of the election, and Truman almost lost)
Ike was re-elected in 1956
Nixon was re-elected in 1972
Reagan was re-elected in 1984
Clinton was re-elected in 1996
Obama was re-elected in 2012
** - At the risk of sounding Clintonian, for Obama it depends on the definition of the word "well." Certainly, most breathing, rational humans recognize that the US' economic performance under Obama's Presidency vis-à-vis other post-recessionary situations was horrible:
Further, along other dimensions, life under Obama was pretty bad around the 2012 election:
Nonetheless (and please, don't take this as me applauding Obama), the economy and the stock market were growing vs contracting, unemployment was declining vs rising in 2012. Add having the media and entertainment industries in his pocket, and you get a re-election. However, as pointed out elsewhere, Obama won ONLY by about 350,000 votes.
All that said, The Trump Economic Train is unlike anything we've seen, people of all walks of life are doing better. We can say what we want about Maher, but the reality is that "It's the economy, stupid!" is a pretty solid political truth. While I don't think Trump will lose re-election, we cannot take our foot off the gas: Deplorabilism must continue to grow in size and stature for the betterment of all Americans.
“His annual salary is $10 million”
More campaign fodder for the Republicans... but The Stupid Party wont use it.
The Clinton's are about selling us out to the highest bidder, and the loss of American manufacturing would have continued under the guise of "free trade", so Americans would have effectively given up on the country anyway if she had won.
On the other hand, President Trump has stood for bringing back American jobs, fair trade, record low unemployment for blacks and Hispanics, and if he succeeds with N. Korea then peace. What in all of that does Maher oppose?
I see Maher has been taking advantage of the new heroin/mushroom/meth/ecstasy/vodka cocktail that’s so popular among ‘his kind’ these days.
Sounds like even had a double.
The left is insane and extremely dangerous. They would accept economic collapse or an American city in smoldering ruin to protect liberalism (disguised as their “Democracy”). How sick is that Americans applaud despair upon other Americans? I remember Obama’s “boot on neck” and “bring a gun” comments. The infantile audience was ecstatic as a bunch of drunken Brown Shirts or Antifa types.
If there is a recession I hope that so called late night comedy and those attempting to deliver it suffer the most.
Why not make them suffer now? Why not create a recession for the late night comedy shows? We have the power to do that. It’s easy, just cut your cable tv. They cannot survive without cable subscriber fees. CNN’s revenue is 50% cable subscriber fees. Wouldn’t you love to see CNN implode along with the rest of the LEFT MEDIA CARTEL? I know your answer is yes.
It may seem like you cannot live without it but I have been without it for about 10 years. I have not missed it at all.
If you send a check to the cable tv company, you are funding the LEFT.
The left is insane and extremely dangerous. They would accept economic collapse or an American city in smoldering ruin to protect liberalism (disguised as their Democracy).
Agree. They do not care if America is a pile of rubble as long as they are in control.
I have done without it for a long time. They don’t realize that a good economy make their jobs possible.
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They plan to make America “a pile of rubble” when they are in charge.
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Yes, cut the cable. The only reason I may have had for cable is if I followed sports, but with the NFL and NBA full onslaught Hate America tour, it only makes sense to just subscribe to MLB or NHL or college football online and cast it to the big screen if necessary. Incidentally, I’m surprised that college football/basketball isn’t as SJW as the NFL considering the fact that most colleges are full-on anti-1st Amendment cesspools of socialist vile and hatred, but I digress.
Which celebrity will be the first to openly say they are “rooting” for an assassination?
Probably some fringe, slightly known one who the media will cover over and over and over again emphasizing the line: “rooting for an assassination” over and over and over again.
I was in Minnesota when Obama was first elected. One engineer that I worked around was a dyed in the wool Minnesota barking moonbat commie Democrat. Not only did he cheer at Obama’s election, he wanted an economic crash so all the “evil rich Republicans” would commit suicide.
It’s the current Democrat (read operational arm of the CPUSA) philosophy of “better to rule in Hell than to serve in Heaven.” What else would you expect from a party that booed God three times at the 2012 Convention and chanted “Hail, Satan” at a pro life rally? They have chosen their side.
God bless and protect PDJT.
He still has his show proving again that some are more equal than others.
I cancelled HBO yesterday morning. I feel cleaner already.
He must have been happy during bammy’s term: deep recession, jobs not being formed, despair.
He hopes for a recession because that would make the democrats right in their predictions of what Trump would cause. He is a big mouthed dunderhead. He is simply trying to tear down everything Trump is doing to make him look like he knows what is going on.
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