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Experts now predict a 'below-average' 2018 hurricane season
https://www.nola.com/ ^ | 7/2/18 | Laura McKnight

Posted on 07/03/2018 10:46:42 AM PDT by BBell

Experts are now forecasting a "below-average" Atlantic hurricane season based on unusually cold temperatures in portions of the Atlantic Ocean, according to updated projections released Monday (June 2) by Colorado State University.

The new predictions call for a total of 11 named storms to develop this season, a drop from the original prediction of 14. The 11 storms include Subtropical Storm Alberto, the one named storm that has already occurred this season.

Of those 11 storms, four are expected to become hurricanes, including one major hurricane. The original forecast, released in April, included seven hurricanes, three of them major hurricanes. In late May, experts adjusted those expectations to six hurricanes, two of them major hurricanes, classified as Category 3 and above.

The adjusted storm outlook was released by Colorado State University's Department of Atmospheric Science and researchers for its Tropical Meteorology Project, considered among the top experts in the field.

The report, authored by Philip J. Klotzbach and Michael M. Bell, attributes the decrease in expected storms to temperatures that are "much colder than normal" in tropical and subtropical parts of the Atlantic Ocean.

Colder water in the tropical Atlantic provides less fuel for developing storms, experts said in the Monday predictions. The cold conditions also tend to coincide with higher pressure, drier air and "a more stable atmosphere," forecasters said. Drier and more stable air suppresses the formation of deep thunderstorms, which function as the building blocks of hurricanes.

The development of a weak El Nino at the height of hurricane season would also curtail storms, forecasters said.

(Excerpt) Read more at nola.com ...


TOPICS: Weather
KEYWORDS: 2018; belowaverage; hurricaneseason; morewinning; winning
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Now I'm worried.

I'm sure AL Gore is deeply saddened. He really wanted a new yacht.

1 posted on 07/03/2018 10:46:42 AM PDT by BBell
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To: BBell

Good. We’ve got more than enough on our plate these days!


2 posted on 07/03/2018 10:47:58 AM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin (I don't have 'Hobbies.' I'm developing a robust Post-Apocalyptic skill set.)
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To: BBell

Can we blame Global Warming?


3 posted on 07/03/2018 10:48:04 AM PDT by Flick Lives (Suddenly someone'll say, like, plate, or shrimp, or plate o' shrimp out of the blue, no explanation.)
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To: BBell

4 posted on 07/03/2018 10:49:17 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: BBell

Winning?


5 posted on 07/03/2018 10:49:37 AM PDT by Ciaphas Cain ("Progressivism" is as every kind of evil: it can never create, only corrupt and destroy.)
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To: Flick Lives

Absolutely!


6 posted on 07/03/2018 10:52:57 AM PDT by DuncanWaring (The Lord uses the good ones; the bad ones use the Lord.)
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To: BBell

But, but we were warned thirteen years ago that we were the blue pill of bad weather and we would have more hurricanes, bigger hurricanes and longer hurricanes!

Who can forget the National Geographic cover from those years warning us of how WE were destroying ourselves!


7 posted on 07/03/2018 10:58:40 AM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar
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To: BBell

but, but, but - that cannot be, globull warming or such.


8 posted on 07/03/2018 10:58:49 AM PDT by rigelkentaurus
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To: BBell
Now I'm worried.

I am too. These Glow-Bull Warming types are always wrong. Now that they're predicting a less active season, it's cause to worry - sort of like when Dick Morris predicts something...

9 posted on 07/03/2018 10:59:06 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte (Time to get the US out of the UN and the UN out of the US!)
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To: Flick Lives

Oh my goodness ! More hurricanes? Global warming! Oh wait.... fewer hurricanes.....global warming!


10 posted on 07/03/2018 10:59:53 AM PDT by spudville
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To: BBell

Al Gore was heard to cry out “Fake News!”


11 posted on 07/03/2018 11:00:17 AM PDT by Skywise
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To: BBell

Good. Here is another thing that Barry Soetoro, Usurper in Chief, couldn’t do, where Trump is doing a much better job. This is YUGE! I think Trump also lowered the sealevel, too. MAGA MAROP (Make Americca Reject Obama Policies).


12 posted on 07/03/2018 11:00:54 AM PDT by SERKIT ("Blazing Saddles" explains it all.......)
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To: BBell
some text
13 posted on 07/03/2018 11:01:31 AM PDT by yuleeyahoo (The nation which can prefer disgrace to danger is prepared for a master and deserves one. Hamilton)
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To: BBell

they will be wrong as usual


14 posted on 07/03/2018 11:01:33 AM PDT by changeitback440
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To: BBell; rodguy911
GloBULL warming at it's best.
15 posted on 07/03/2018 11:01:35 AM PDT by upchuck (As we head to the midterms, please (re)read Confessions of Congressman X - tinyurl.com/congressmanx)
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To: BBell
Experts are now forecasting a "below-average" Atlantic hurricane season based on unusually cold temperatures in portions of the Atlantic Ocean, according to updated projections released Monday (June 2) by Colorado State University. The new predictions call for a total of 11 named storms to develop this season, a drop from the original prediction of 14.

These must not be the same "experts" that call themselves climatologists.

What is notable too is when the forecast is cataclysmic, the lsm calls them "scientists". Now that the forecasts aren't so dire, they are just "experts".

16 posted on 07/03/2018 11:04:01 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: BBell
That dang Trump has even sucked the hurricanes from the ocean! When will the oppression cease?
17 posted on 07/03/2018 11:06:02 AM PDT by Billthedrill
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To: BBell
So far this year, we have been lucky in tornado deaths in the US with the spring tornado season over in most of the nation. Only three people have been killed so far, and one was in a mobile home and one in an RV. And on the one most dangerous day of the year, a warm front in northern Alabama that was a focus of tornadic development missed the Huntsville and Chattanooga metro areas and the one tornado produced that day that hit a heavily populated area hit a university depopulated by spring break.
18 posted on 07/03/2018 11:06:57 AM PDT by Colonel Kangaroo
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To: BBell

As a Florida resident I am VERY glad to read this.

I abhor hurricanes.


19 posted on 07/03/2018 11:08:20 AM PDT by TheStickman (#MAGA all day every day!)
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To: BBell

Trump’s fault.


20 posted on 07/03/2018 11:09:58 AM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola.")
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